Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 150808
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0308 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2008
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE W WILL FLATTEN WITH GENERALLY ZONAL TO
   SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND PLAINS. AT THE
   SURFACE...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND FROM THE GREAT BASIN INTO
   THE CNTRL U.S. RESIDUAL GUSTY WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER SRN CA IN A
   WEAKENING SANTA ANA WIND EVENT...WITH VERY LOW RH PERSISTING.
   
   ELSEWHERE...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SERN STATES WITH
   VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH A SURFACE HIGH IN PLACE.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY WINDS MAINLY EARLY IN THE DAY AND
   EXTREMELY LOW RH
   
   LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS MAINLY THROUGH PASSES AND CANYONS WILL PERSIST
   THIS MORNING WITH A WEAK TO MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE.
   THIS GRADIENT AND THUS WINDS WILL DECREASE LATER IN THE DAY...BUT RH
   LEVELS WILL REMAIN EXTREMELY LOW AND IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. THE
   EXTREMELY DRY AIR AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL STILL FAVOR FIRE
   GROWTH.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL RESULT IN VERY WARM AND
   DRY WEATHER TODAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S F WILL BE COMMON
   ALONG WITH MIN RH VALUES OF 25-30 PERCENT FROM AL INTO GA AND THE
   CAROLINAS. LACK OF ANY WIND WILL MITIGATE THE FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 10/15/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 150808
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0308 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2008
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD AND LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE ROCKIES
   EWD INTO THE NE WITH GENERALLY COOL WEATHER BENEATH. WARMER AND
   DRIER WEATHER WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND SWRN STATES
   AS AN UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD. A MAINLY WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT WILL EXIST FROM THE GREAT BASIN INTO SRN CA...WITH LIGHTER
   WINDS BUT LOW RH.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   A VERY WARM AND DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION AS AN UPPER
   RIDGE BUILDS. THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RELAX...WITH ONLY
   ISOLATED AREAS OF GUSTY WINDS NEAR THE MTNS. VERY LOW RH WITH VALUES
   IN THE SINGLE DIGITS WILL MAINTAIN CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FIRES TO
   BURN BUT OVERALL WINDS WILL BE MUCH WEAKER THAN THE PREVIOUS DAY.
   
   ...GA/NRN FL/SC...
   IT WILL BE EXTREMELY DRY ON THU WITH HIGH PRESSURE MODIFYING. MIN RH
   IS EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 25-30 PERCENT WITH TEMPERATURES OF 85-90 F.
   THE MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE LIGHT WINDS...BUT INCREASING KBDI
   VALUES ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE...SW GA...AND SRN AL SUGGEST A
   MARGINAL FIRE THREAT DUE SOLELY TO LOW RH.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 10/15/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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