Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 010718
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0218 AM CDT SAT NOV 01 2008
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A POTENT SYSTEM OFF THE
   PACIFIC NW COAST.  THIS FEATURE WILL EXERT INFLUENCE OVER PARTS OF
   THE WRN CONUS TODAY.  MEANWHILE AN UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY OVER
   PARTS OF THE ERN ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS REGIONS AHEAD OF THE ERN
   PACIFIC SYSTEM.  AREAS IN THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS MAY EXPERIENCE
   LOWER RH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE
   DEVELOPS FROM S TO N.  HOWEVER...THE LIKELIHOOD OF A WEAK LEE
   SURFACE TROUGH AND SUBSEQUENT WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
   RETARD THE PROBABILITY OF STRONG SUSTAINED WINDS...THEREBY LIMITING
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.  FURTHER E...AN UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE
   FROM PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION INTO THE NERN GOMEX. 
   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO RESIDE IN PARTS OF THE SERN
   U.S.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA WITH MAINLY LIGHT WINDS AND
   LOW RH IN THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE DURING PEAK HEATING BEFORE EVENING
   RH RECOVERY.  THE MOST CONCENTRATED AREA OF LOW RH WILL MAY EXTEND
   FROM PARTS OF UPSTATE SC/NERN GA SWWD TO THE FL PANHANDLE.  MODEL
   GUIDANCE APPEARS CONSISTENT...INDICATING WEAK WINDS OVER THE
   AFOREMENTIONED AREA.  SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL
   OCCUR OVER THE FL PENINSULA...BUT SURFACE RH VALUES SHOULD REMAIN
   ABOVE 35 PERCENT.
   
   ..SMITH.. 11/01/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010850
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0350 AM CDT SAT NOV 01 2008
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD OVER THE GREAT
   BASIN/ROCKIES REGIONS WITH UPPER RIDGING OCCURRING DOWNSTREAM OVER
   PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS AND PRAIRIE PROVINCES.  AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
   OVER THE NERN GOMEX WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DURING THE PERIOD AS IT
   MEANDERS SLOWLY EWD OVER PARTS OF THE SERN U.S.  AT THE
   SURFACE...LEE SURFACE TROUGHING WILL OCCUR OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVING TOWARDS THE REGION. 
   A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL EXTEND SWD ALONG THE E COAST INTO
   PARTS OF THE SERN STATES.
   
   ...PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
   A STRENGTHENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT MAY LEAD TO SUSTAINED
   SLY-SWLY WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS NEARING 25 MPH IN LOCALIZED
   AREAS.  HOWEVER...SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE MAGNITUDE OF
   SURFACE WINDS.  AS TEMPS WARM TO THE 70S AND NEAR 80F DEG UNDER
   MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY
   LAYER MIXING WILL PROBABLY YIELD MIN RH VALUES IN THE LOWER 20S AND
   PERHAPS UPPER TEENS.  WILL INTRODUCE SEE TEXT HIGHLIGHT DUE TO
   MODEST POTENTIAL FOR LOW MIN RH AND GUSTY WINDS.
   
   ..SMITH.. 11/01/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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