Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 040825
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0225 AM CST TUE NOV 04 2008
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SIGNIFICANT UPPER TROUGH EVIDENT IN MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY WILL
   CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD INTO PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN AS A STRONG 140KT
   UPPER JET STREAK DIGS SEWD ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH.  SWLY
   MID-UPPER FLOW FIELDS WILL STRENGTHEN OVER PARTS OF THE SWRN U.S.
   AND NEWD OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES.
   AT THE SURFACE...A SURFACE LOW WILL FORM ALONG WITH AN ATTENDANT
   LEE-SIDE SURFACE TROUGH E OF THE FRONT RANGE.  AS A RESULT...A
   STRENGTHENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL AID IN CREATING BREEZY
   CONDITIONS OVER THE PLAINS.  AREAS FURTHER W OF THE LOW LEVEL
   MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE GULF /PARTICULARLY OVER THE S-CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS/ WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO BRIEF PERIODS OF LOW MIN RH FOR A FEW
   HOURS AROUND PEAK HEATING IN ADDITION TO BREEZY CONDITIONS.
   
   ...PARTS OF THE S-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
   MODERATELY STRONG SWLY 700MB WINDS /40 KTS/ WILL OVERSPREAD THE
   REGION THIS AFTERNOON.  RELATIVELY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR EMANATING FROM
   THE SW...COUPLED WITH SUNNY SKIES AND SEASONABLY WARM TEMPS WILL
   FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT
   BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING.  THIS ALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SUSTAINED
   WINDS AROUND 20-25 MPH AND MIN RH POTENTIALLY AS LOW AS 20-25
   PERCENT.
   
   ..SMITH.. 11/04/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 040945
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0345 AM CST TUE NOV 04 2008
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF WRN OK / TX PANHANDLE /
   E-CENTRAL NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE ROCKIES AT THE START OF THE PERIOD
   WILL MOVE NEWD TOWARDS THE N-CENTRAL PLAINS.  A 500MB SPEED MAX /80
   KTS/ WILL ROTATE AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND NOSE
   OVERHEAD THE SRN HIGH PLAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  AT THE
   SURFACE...A LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE NEWD OVER THE NRN PLAINS AS
   A COLD FRONT DROPS SWD OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.  A DRYLINE WILL
   PUSH EWD OVER PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK DURING THE
   AFTERNOON HOURS AHEAD OF A SEWD SWEEPING COLD FRONT.  CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR PROBABLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE S-CENTRAL
   PLAINS AS RH PLUMMETS BEHIND THE DRYLINE CONCURRENTLY WITH STRONG
   SURFACE SWLY-WLYS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PARTS OF WRN OK / TX PANHANDLE /
   E-CENTRAL NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW MINIMUM RH
   
   MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF
   LOW RH AND STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR.  DRY AIR ADVECTION AND
   SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING WILL ENABLE RH VALUES TO DROP INTO
   THE 15-25 PERCENT RANGE BEHIND THE DRYLINE.  STRONG SUSTAINED
   SWLY-WLY WINDS /20-30 MPH/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE FORECAST ATTM. 
   MARGINAL MAX TEMPS AROUND 60 F DEG MAY ACT TO TEMPER THE OVERALL
   THREAT OVER PARTS OF NM AND POSSIBLY ACT AS THE WRN EXTENT OF
   ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.  AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES DURING
   THE EVENING HOURS...WINDS WILL BECOME NWLY AND RH WILL IMPROVE TO
   ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.
   
   ..SMITH.. 11/04/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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