Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140856
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0256 AM CST FRI NOV 14 2008
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT SLOWLY EWD TODAY OVER PARTS
   OF THE MIDWEST AS AN ELONGATED UPPER DISTURBANCE PER EARLY MORNING
   SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO MOVE SEWD OVER THE ROCKIES/HIGH
   PLAINS AND MOVES TOWARDS THE MID MISSISSIPPI/OHIO VALLEY REGION.  AN
   UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE EWD AND BE CENTERED JUST OFF THE CA COAST BY
   THE END OF THE PERIOD.  A MODERATE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
   STRENGTHEN AND BECOME MAXIMIZED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS HIGH
   PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST BEHIND THE
   CENTRAL U.S. UPPER TROUGH.  AS A RESULT...A MODERATE SANTA ANA EVENT
    WILL LIKELY OCCUR OVER PARTS OF SRN CA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PARTS OF SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH
   
   DRY GUSTY WINDS PER EARLY MORNING SURFACE OBSERVATIONS WILL CONTINUE
   AND BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AS A SIGNIFICANT SANTA ANA EVENT BEGINS. 
   THE PEAK OF THE EVENT WILL LIKELY OCCUR DURING THE FRIDAY EVENING
   THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY.  FLOW TRAJECTORIES UP TO
   500MB WILL BECOME MORE OPTIMALLY ALIGNED IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL
   PROFILE.  STRONG SUSTAINED WINDS /15-40 MPH/ WILL PROBABLY OCCUR
   OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS IN WIND PRONE AREAS
   PROBABLY EXCEEDING 60 MPH.  ANOMALOUSLY WARM HIGH TEMPERATURES
   IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S ALONG WITH CONTINUED DOWNSLOPE
   WARMING/DRYING WILL SUPPORT LOW RH /TEENS INTO UPPER SINGLE DIGITS/
   WITH MINIMAL RH RECOVERY.
   
   ..SMITH.. 11/14/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 140902
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 AM CST FRI NOV 14 2008
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS WILL SHIFT EWD
   DURING THE PERIOD.  FURTHER W...THERE WILL BE AN EXPANSIVE UPPER
   RIDGE OVER PARTS OF THE WRN STATES.  A MODERATE SANTA ANA AND A
   CONTINUATION OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER PARTS OF SRN
   CA WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PARTS OF SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH
   
   DRY NELY TRAJECTORIES OVER SRN CA WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY
   THROUGH A DEEP LAYER.  STRONG SUSTAINED WINDS 15-40 MPH AT THE START
   OF THE PERIOD /HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY IN WIND PRONE LOCALES/ WILL
   LIKELY BEGIN TO WEAKEN BY THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS SATURDAY. 
   MODEL OUTPUT CONSISTENCY INDICATING THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   WILL WEAKEN DURING THE PERIOD LENDS CONFIDENCE IN THE ABOVE
   SCENARIO.  THE DRY OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED WITH LOW RH
   VALUES IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
   AGAIN REACH THE 80S AND PERHAPS THE LOWER 90S.
   
   ..SMITH.. 11/14/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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