Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 180931
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0331 AM CST THU DEC 18 2008
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH EVIDENT ON EARLY MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY
   WILL MOVE EWD FROM THE SWRN STATES TO THE LOWER MISSOURI RIVER
   VALLEY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.  A SURFACE LOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
   IN THE VICINITY OF THE COLORADO HIGH PLAINS WITH AN ATTENDANT EWD
   SWEEPING COLD FRONT.  INCREASING FLOW FIELDS THROUGH THE PROFILE
   ACROSS PARTS OF SERN NM AND PARTS OF W TX IN COMBINATION WITH
   MARGINAL SURFACE RH VALUES WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT
   ACROSS THIS REGION.
   
   ...PARTS OF SERN NM/W TX...
   MODERATELY STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON
   HOURS.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE SUGGEST RH MAY
   ONLY FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S PERCENT RANGE LIMITING A GREATER
   OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.  03Z/18 SREF GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
   DEPICT AN AXIS OF MARGINAL LOWER RH FROM THE PECOS RIVER IN SWRN TX
   NWD ALONG THE TX/NM BORDER REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  A
   SUBTROPICAL MID-LEVEL MOIST PLUME EMANATING FROM THE ERN
   PACIFIC/BAJA REGION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVERSPREADING THE AREA WITH
   SUBSTANTIAL MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL
   RETARD SURFACE HEATING AND REDUCE THE MAGNITUDE OF LOWER RH ACROSS
   THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.  ALBEIT MARGINAL RH VALUES ARE
   LIKELY...MODERATELY STRONG SWLY TO WLY SUSTAINED WINDS /20-30 MPH/
   WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL ACT TO ENHANCE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ..SMITH.. 12/18/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 180933
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0333 AM CST THU DEC 18 2008
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PROGRESSIVE WEAKENING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD OVER THE NERN
   QUARTER OF THE CONUS AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH DIGS SWD OVER PARTS OF
   THE WRN STATES.  AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EWD ACROSS
   THE OH/TN VALLEY REGION WITH THE FRONT STALLING ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH
   REGION AS RETURN FLOW COMMENCES OVER ERN TX.  THERE ARE NO FORECAST
   LARGE AREAS OF LOW RH AND STRONG WINDS...PRECLUDING A CRITICAL
   OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ..SMITH.. 12/18/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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