Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 130939
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0339 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2009
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN ALONG THE W COAST WITH A STRONG AREA OF
   HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THIS WILL MAINTAIN
   GUSTY OFFSHORE FLOW/SANTA ANA WINDS FOR SRN CA WHERE RH WILL BE LOW.
   TO THE E...ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE FROM THE SRN
   PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH VERY DRY WEATHER AND NWLY
   WINDS. A LEE TROUGH WILL DEEPEN FROM SD INTO ERN CO AND NM BY
   AFTERNOON BENEATH A NWLY FLOW REGIME ALOFT. GUSTY SWLY WINDS AND
   VERY LOW RH WILL OCCUR OVER WRN KS/OK AND THE TX PANHANDLE DESPITE
   RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: CONTINUED STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW AND LOW RH
   
   A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FROM NV INTO SRN CA
   WITH GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS ONGOING THIS MORNING. RH WILL FURTHER
   INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS INTO THE
   80S F. GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST WITH LOCAL GUSTS OVER 50 MPH. GUSTY
   WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO WED MORNING WITH POOR RH RECOVERY.
   
   ...TX/OK PANHANDLES AND NW TX/WRN OK...
   A LEE PRESSURE TROUGH WILL DEEPEN LATER TODAY FROM ERN CO INTO ERN
   NM. A VERY COOL AND DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE...BUT HIGHS
   WILL EVENTUALLY REACH THE MID 50S F WITH MIN RH IN THE TEENS. SWLY
   WINDS OF 15-20 MPH WILL DEVELOP AS WELL.  THE COOL TEMPERATURES AND
   SHALLOW INVERSION HEIGHTS WILL HELP KEEP THE OVERALL FIRE THREAT AT
   BAY...ALTHOUGH SOME THREAT WILL EXIST FOR A COUPLE HOURS NEAR PEAK
   HEATING. RH WILL RECOVER RAPIDLY NEAR SUNSET AS WINDS DIMINISH.
   
   ...SRN AND SERN TX...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO ERN TX LATER TODAY BEHIND A COLD
   FRONT...WITH COOL BUT VERY DRY CONDITIONS. MIN RH WILL DIP INTO THE
   TEENS OVER CNTRL TX...WITH TWENTIES ALONG THE TX COAST. NWLY WINDS
   NEAR 15 MPH ARE ALSO LIKELY WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS. THE COOL
   TEMPERATURES AND MARGINAL SUSTAINED WINDS WILL MITIGATE THE FIRE
   THREAT TO SUB CRITICAL LEVELS...ALTHOUGH STILL ELEVATED DUE TO
   DROUGHT.
   
   ...GULF COAST/SERN STATES...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE E INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH A RESIDUAL
   HIGH FARTHER E OVER GA AND THE CAROLINAS. POCKETS OF LOW RH WILL
   EXIST MAINLY FROM THE WRN FL PANHANDLE/SRN AL WWD.
   HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COOL. RECENT RAINS OVER NRN FL
   WILL FURTHER MITIGATE ANY MINOR FIRE THREAT FOR TODAY.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 01/13/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 131002
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0402 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2009
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN SITUATED ALONG THE W COAST WITH A LARGE
   UPPER TROUGH GENERALLY E OF THE ROCKIES. DRY OFFSHORE WINDS WILL
   CONTINUE OVER SRN CA DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN. DRY
   WEATHER WILL ALSO CONTINUE FROM THE SRN PLAINS EWD ACROSS THE GULF
   COAST REGION WITH ANOTHER HIGH.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SRN CA WITH
   DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS AGAIN WED. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR
   SUSTAINED WINDS MAY BE A BIT WEAKER ON WED THAN ON THE PREVIOUS FEW
   DAYS...BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL STILL SUPPORT STRONG WIND
   GUSTS AND RH WILL DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF
   15-25 MPH APPEAR LIKELY WITH LOCAL GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH THROUGH PASSES
   AND CANYONS. RH RECOVERY WILL BE LOCALLY POOR OVERNIGHT AS GUSTS
   CONTINUE.
   
   ...FL...
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE FL
   PENINSULA ON WED AS VERY DRY AIR FILTERS S IN A POST FRONTAL AIR
   MASS. MIN RH SHOULD DIP INTO THE 20 PERCENT RANGE ESPECIALLY NRN
   FL...WITH VALUES IN TO THE 30 PERCENT RANGE OVER SRN FL. NWLY WINDS
   OF 10-15 MPH DURING THE MORNING SHOULD WEAKEN DURING THE DAY. GIVEN
   HIGH KBDI VALUES DUE TO DROUGHT...PORTIONS OF FL COULD BE UPGRADED
   IN THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK ESPECIALLY IF WINDS ARE STRONGER THAN
   CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.
   
   ...CNTRL TX...
   SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH AHEAD OF A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
   AND ON THE WRN PERIPHERY OF THE GULF COAST HIGH. RH LEVELS WILL DIP
   INTO THE TEENS WITH TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING OUT OF THE 50S F. GIVEN
   THE MARGINAL SUSTAINED WINDS AND COOL TEMPERATURES...LARGE SCALE
   CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 01/13/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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