Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 150802
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0202 AM CST THU JAN 15 2009
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FLORIDA...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE WEST COAST. OFFSHORE
FLOW WILL PERSIST IN SRN CA. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH
WILL ALIGN WITH GUSTY NELY WINDS IN THIS REGIME.
MEANWHILE FARTHER E...AN AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH WILL DOMINATE THE
EAST. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE SERN STATES THIS
MORNING...AND GUSTY NWLY WINDS AND LOW RH WILL FOLLOW. NWLY WINDS
NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE THREAT ACROSS DROUGHT
STRICKEN AREAS OF NRN AND CNTRL FL.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...LOW RH
LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS SRN CA TODAY AS OFFSHORE FLOW
LINGERS ACROSS THE AREA. MESOWEST ANALYSIS SHOWS RH RECOVERY IS
SOMEWHAT WORSE THAN YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME...WITH CURRENT RH VALUES
MAINLY IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S. 03Z ANALYSIS COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY SHOWS A SLIGHTLY STRONGER RIDGE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST...WITH SURFACE HEIGHT RISES SUGGESTING AT LEAST SOME
STRENGTHENING IS ONGOING. A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS PERSISTING
ACROSS SRN CA...AND CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE LIKELY.
GUSTY WINDS WILL ALIGN WITH LOW RHS AND TEMPERATURES 10 TO 20
DEGREES ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS IN A DOWNSLOPE REGIME. EXTENDED
PERIOD OF DRYNESS WILL CERTAINLY ENHANCE THE FIRE THREAT. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN BY THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EVENING...WITH STRONGER WINDS ACROSS SRN CA
RESULTING...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AND FAVORED CANYONS AND
PASSES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FLORIDA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH...GUSTY WINDS...MODERATE DROUGHT
A SECOND DRIER COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH NRN FL BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD SEWD INTO THE SERN
STATES...AND NWLY WINDS NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH WILL DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON.
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY WARM INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER
60S...RHS WILL PLUMMET INTO THE MID 20S ACROSS NRN FL...AND LOWER
30S ACROSS CNTRL FL. GIVEN HIGH KDBI VALUES DUE TO DROUGHT...A
HEIGHTENED FIRE THREAT WILL EXIST.
..HURLBUT.. 01/15/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 150805
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 AM CST THU JAN 15 2009
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
...SYNOPSIS...
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN IS EXPECTED AS A LONG WAVE
TROUGH DOMINATES THE EAST AND UPPER RIDGING DOMINATES THE WEST.
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SRN CA...WITH STRONG AND GUSTY
WINDS JUXTAPOSED WITH LOW RH AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
MEANWHILE FARTHER E...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SEWD BECOMING
CENTERED ROUGHLY OVER THE APPALACHIANS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SERN STATES. GUSTY NWLY WINDS WILL ALIGN WITH LOW
RH...ALTHOUGH MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN TOO COOL FOR FIRE CONCERNS.
HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S ACROSS NRN AND
CNTRL FL WILL CAUSE RHS TO PLUMMET INTO THE 20S BY AFTERNOON.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...LOW RH
YET ANOTHER DAY OF OFFSHORE FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED IN SRN CA...WITH
SEVERAL DAYS OF DRYNESS CONTINUING TO DRY FUELS AND ENHANCING THE
FIRE THREAT. WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND RHS IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND TEENS WILL PREVAIL...WITH LITTLE OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG/GUSTY
WINDS AND ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING WILL OCCUR DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON...THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS IT STRENGTHENS AGAIN BY
EVENING. MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE THE FORMATION OF A WEAK UPPER LOW
JUST OFFSHORE OF SRN CA...WITH STRONG NELY FLOW TO THE N AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER HIGH. DEPENDING ON THE LOCATION OF
EACH...STRONGER NELY WINDS ALOFT MAY ALIGN WITH THE STRENGTHENING
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT...SOMEWHAT ENHANCING WINDS OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN AND THROUGH FAVORED PASSES AND CANYONS.
...FLORIDA...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD...SETTLING ROUGHLY
OVER THE APPALACHIANS. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BE PREVALENT ACROSS
FL COMPARED TO D1...ALTHOUGH DRIER AIR WILL CAUSE RHS TO DROP INTO
THE 20S AND POSSIBLY UPPER TEENS IN NRN FL...WHILE VALUES IN THE
LOWER 30S CAN BE EXPECTED IN CNTRL FL. NLY/NWLY WINDS NEAR 10 TO 15
MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE AS WELL...AND ANTECEDENT DRYNESS WILL ENHANCE
THE OVERALL THREAT. HOWEVER...GIVEN RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES...A
CRITICAL WILL NOT BE OUTLINED AT THIS TIME.
..HURLBUT.. 01/15/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...