Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 310710
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0110 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2009
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL AND NWRN TX...WRN OK...ERN
   NM...S CNTRL KS......
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FLORIDA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL QUICKLY EXIT THE EAST COAST THIS MORNING...AND
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. DRY
   AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR OVER MOST OF FLORIDA BY AFTERNOON AS
   THIS OCCURS.
   
   IN THE CNTRL STATES...A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEEPEN FROM THE UPPER MS
   VALLEY SWWD INTO NERN NM AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING UPPER TROUGH IN THE
   NRN HIGH PLAINS. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT A LARGE
   PORTION OF THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS BY AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO
   THIS...CREATING CRITICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS A WIDESPREAD AREA.
   
   MEANWHILE DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
   SOUTHWEST...ALTHOUGH WITH WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT/WINDS THAN
   YESTERDAY. ANOTHER SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN
   WEST OVERNIGHT AS THE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES BEGINS TO
   AMPLIFY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CNTRL AND NWRN TX...WRN OK...ERN
   NM...S CNTRL KS......
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
   
   A SURFACE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO DEEPEN FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY SWWD
   INTO NERN NM AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING UPPER TROUGH IN THE NRN HIGH
   PLAINS. A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE SERN CO/SWRN
   KS BORDERS AS WELL. WARM AND DRY SWLY/SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE BY
   AFTERNOON AS THIS OCCURS...AND AS WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW
   STRONGER WINDS ALOFT TO GUST TO THE SURFACE. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20
   TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY OVER ERN NM...NWRN
   TX...THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES...WRN OK...SWRN AND S CNTRL KS. THESE
   WILL BE JUXTAPOSED WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND RHS IN
   THE TEENS. FARTHER S ACROSS CNTRL TX....WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT
   LIGHTER...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH...ALTHOUGH GIVEN
   MORE SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN THESE AREAS...A HEIGHTENED FIRE
   THREAT WILL STILL EXIST. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE
   ACROSS CNTRL OK AND N CNTRL TX AS WELL...RECENT PRECIPITATION SHOULD
   SOMEWHAT MITIGATE THE THREAT FOR NOW.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FLORIDA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH...WINDS
   
   AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL QUICKLY EXIT THE EAST THIS
   MORNING...AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE
   SOUTHEAST. DRY CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY SETTLING ACROSS MUCH OF
   FL...EVIDENCED ON WV IMAGERY AND IN CURRENT DEW POINT READINGS. BY
   AFTERNOON...EXPECT THAT LOCATIONS ACROSS NRN FL WILL EXPERIENCE
   SEVERAL HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 20S...WHILE IN E CNTRL
   AND SRN FL DEW POINTS IN THE LOW 30S WILL BE COMMON. HIGHER WINDS
   AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER...AND BY
   AFTERNOON NWLY WINDS NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE
   LIKELY. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH DRY FUELS WILL INCREASE THE FIRE
   THREAT ACROSS FLORIDA TODAY.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 01/31/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 310749
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0149 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2009
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS THE CNTRL U.S. AS A POLAR JET
   MAX DIGS SEWD INTO THE NRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF
   THE TROUGH. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS KS...OK...NRN TX...AND
   NERN NM EARLY IN THE DAY...THEN SAG SWD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TX
   BY MONDAY MORNING. 
   
   MEANWHILE AS LOW PRESSURE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE CNTRL STATES...HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL AMPLIFY IN THE WEST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
   STRENGTHEN OVER THE GREAT BASIN...AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TO
   SRN CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER...OFFICIALS ACROSS SRN CA REPORT THAT FUELS
   ARE NOT CRITICAL. THEREFORE THERE WILL BE NO CRITICAL DESIGNATION AT
   THIS TIME.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE SOMEWHAT COOL..MAINLY 50S
   AND LOWER 60S...THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE DRY AND RHS WILL LIKELY
   REMAIN MARGINALLY LOW EVEN FOLLOWING THE FRONT...WITH VALUES IN THE
   MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. THE MARGINAL RH VALUES AND RELATIVELY COOL
   TEMPERATURES WILL LIMIT A CRITICAL DESIGNATION AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER
   THAT BEING SAID...GIVEN CRITICAL CONDITIONS ON DAY 1 AND THE
   POTENTIAL FOR ONGOING FIRES...WINDS WILL CERTAINLY BE A CONCERN.
   SWLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL QUICKLY SHIFT TO WLY THEN NWLY
   FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. SPEEDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT
   WITH 20 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED LIKELY JUXTAPOSED WITH MARGINAL RHS.
   SHOULD TOMORROWS FORECAST PRESENT LOWER RHS...A CRITICAL WILL NEED
   TO BE OUTLINED.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 01/31/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home