Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 310710
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0110 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2009
VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL AND NWRN TX...WRN OK...ERN
NM...S CNTRL KS......
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FLORIDA...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL QUICKLY EXIT THE EAST COAST THIS MORNING...AND
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. DRY
AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR OVER MOST OF FLORIDA BY AFTERNOON AS
THIS OCCURS.
IN THE CNTRL STATES...A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEEPEN FROM THE UPPER MS
VALLEY SWWD INTO NERN NM AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING UPPER TROUGH IN THE
NRN HIGH PLAINS. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT A LARGE
PORTION OF THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS BY AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO
THIS...CREATING CRITICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS A WIDESPREAD AREA.
MEANWHILE DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHWEST...ALTHOUGH WITH WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT/WINDS THAN
YESTERDAY. ANOTHER SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST OVERNIGHT AS THE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES BEGINS TO
AMPLIFY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CNTRL AND NWRN TX...WRN OK...ERN
NM...S CNTRL KS......
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
A SURFACE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO DEEPEN FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY SWWD
INTO NERN NM AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING UPPER TROUGH IN THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS. A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE SERN CO/SWRN
KS BORDERS AS WELL. WARM AND DRY SWLY/SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE BY
AFTERNOON AS THIS OCCURS...AND AS WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT TO GUST TO THE SURFACE. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20
TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY OVER ERN NM...NWRN
TX...THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES...WRN OK...SWRN AND S CNTRL KS. THESE
WILL BE JUXTAPOSED WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND RHS IN
THE TEENS. FARTHER S ACROSS CNTRL TX....WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT
LIGHTER...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH...ALTHOUGH GIVEN
MORE SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN THESE AREAS...A HEIGHTENED FIRE
THREAT WILL STILL EXIST. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE
ACROSS CNTRL OK AND N CNTRL TX AS WELL...RECENT PRECIPITATION SHOULD
SOMEWHAT MITIGATE THE THREAT FOR NOW.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FLORIDA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH...WINDS
AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL QUICKLY EXIT THE EAST THIS
MORNING...AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE
SOUTHEAST. DRY CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY SETTLING ACROSS MUCH OF
FL...EVIDENCED ON WV IMAGERY AND IN CURRENT DEW POINT READINGS. BY
AFTERNOON...EXPECT THAT LOCATIONS ACROSS NRN FL WILL EXPERIENCE
SEVERAL HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 20S...WHILE IN E CNTRL
AND SRN FL DEW POINTS IN THE LOW 30S WILL BE COMMON. HIGHER WINDS
AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER...AND BY
AFTERNOON NWLY WINDS NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE
LIKELY. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH DRY FUELS WILL INCREASE THE FIRE
THREAT ACROSS FLORIDA TODAY.
..HURLBUT.. 01/31/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 310749
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0149 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2009
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS THE CNTRL U.S. AS A POLAR JET
MAX DIGS SEWD INTO THE NRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF
THE TROUGH. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS KS...OK...NRN TX...AND
NERN NM EARLY IN THE DAY...THEN SAG SWD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TX
BY MONDAY MORNING.
MEANWHILE AS LOW PRESSURE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE CNTRL STATES...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL AMPLIFY IN THE WEST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
STRENGTHEN OVER THE GREAT BASIN...AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TO
SRN CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER...OFFICIALS ACROSS SRN CA REPORT THAT FUELS
ARE NOT CRITICAL. THEREFORE THERE WILL BE NO CRITICAL DESIGNATION AT
THIS TIME.
...PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS...
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE SOMEWHAT COOL..MAINLY 50S
AND LOWER 60S...THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE DRY AND RHS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN MARGINALLY LOW EVEN FOLLOWING THE FRONT...WITH VALUES IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. THE MARGINAL RH VALUES AND RELATIVELY COOL
TEMPERATURES WILL LIMIT A CRITICAL DESIGNATION AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER
THAT BEING SAID...GIVEN CRITICAL CONDITIONS ON DAY 1 AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR ONGOING FIRES...WINDS WILL CERTAINLY BE A CONCERN.
SWLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL QUICKLY SHIFT TO WLY THEN NWLY
FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. SPEEDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH 20 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED LIKELY JUXTAPOSED WITH MARGINAL RHS.
SHOULD TOMORROWS FORECAST PRESENT LOWER RHS...A CRITICAL WILL NEED
TO BE OUTLINED.
..HURLBUT.. 01/31/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...