Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 310710 DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0110 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2009 VALID 311200Z - 011200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL AND NWRN TX...WRN OK...ERN NM...S CNTRL KS...... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FLORIDA... ...SYNOPSIS... AN UPPER TROUGH WILL QUICKLY EXIT THE EAST COAST THIS MORNING...AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR OVER MOST OF FLORIDA BY AFTERNOON AS THIS OCCURS. IN THE CNTRL STATES...A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEEPEN FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY SWWD INTO NERN NM AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING UPPER TROUGH IN THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT A LARGE PORTION OF THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS BY AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO THIS...CREATING CRITICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS A WIDESPREAD AREA. MEANWHILE DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST...ALTHOUGH WITH WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT/WINDS THAN YESTERDAY. ANOTHER SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST OVERNIGHT AS THE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES BEGINS TO AMPLIFY. ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CNTRL AND NWRN TX...WRN OK...ERN NM...S CNTRL KS...... PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT A SURFACE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO DEEPEN FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY SWWD INTO NERN NM AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING UPPER TROUGH IN THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE SERN CO/SWRN KS BORDERS AS WELL. WARM AND DRY SWLY/SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE BY AFTERNOON AS THIS OCCURS...AND AS WARMING TEMPERATURES ALLOW STRONGER WINDS ALOFT TO GUST TO THE SURFACE. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY OVER ERN NM...NWRN TX...THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES...WRN OK...SWRN AND S CNTRL KS. THESE WILL BE JUXTAPOSED WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND RHS IN THE TEENS. FARTHER S ACROSS CNTRL TX....WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIGHTER...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH...ALTHOUGH GIVEN MORE SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN THESE AREAS...A HEIGHTENED FIRE THREAT WILL STILL EXIST. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE ACROSS CNTRL OK AND N CNTRL TX AS WELL...RECENT PRECIPITATION SHOULD SOMEWHAT MITIGATE THE THREAT FOR NOW. ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FLORIDA... PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH...WINDS AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL QUICKLY EXIT THE EAST THIS MORNING...AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE SOUTHEAST. DRY CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY SETTLING ACROSS MUCH OF FL...EVIDENCED ON WV IMAGERY AND IN CURRENT DEW POINT READINGS. BY AFTERNOON...EXPECT THAT LOCATIONS ACROSS NRN FL WILL EXPERIENCE SEVERAL HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 20S...WHILE IN E CNTRL AND SRN FL DEW POINTS IN THE LOW 30S WILL BE COMMON. HIGHER WINDS AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER...AND BY AFTERNOON NWLY WINDS NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH DRY FUELS WILL INCREASE THE FIRE THREAT ACROSS FLORIDA TODAY. ..HURLBUT.. 01/31/2009 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 310749 DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0149 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2009 VALID 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... AN UPPER TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS THE CNTRL U.S. AS A POLAR JET MAX DIGS SEWD INTO THE NRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS KS...OK...NRN TX...AND NERN NM EARLY IN THE DAY...THEN SAG SWD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TX BY MONDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE AS LOW PRESSURE AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE CNTRL STATES...HIGH PRESSURE WILL AMPLIFY IN THE WEST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE GREAT BASIN...AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TO SRN CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER...OFFICIALS ACROSS SRN CA REPORT THAT FUELS ARE NOT CRITICAL. THEREFORE THERE WILL BE NO CRITICAL DESIGNATION AT THIS TIME. ...PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS... ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE SOMEWHAT COOL..MAINLY 50S AND LOWER 60S...THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE DRY AND RHS WILL LIKELY REMAIN MARGINALLY LOW EVEN FOLLOWING THE FRONT...WITH VALUES IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. THE MARGINAL RH VALUES AND RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES WILL LIMIT A CRITICAL DESIGNATION AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER THAT BEING SAID...GIVEN CRITICAL CONDITIONS ON DAY 1 AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ONGOING FIRES...WINDS WILL CERTAINLY BE A CONCERN. SWLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL QUICKLY SHIFT TO WLY THEN NWLY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. SPEEDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT WITH 20 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED LIKELY JUXTAPOSED WITH MARGINAL RHS. SHOULD TOMORROWS FORECAST PRESENT LOWER RHS...A CRITICAL WILL NEED TO BE OUTLINED. ..HURLBUT.. 01/31/2009 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...