Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 010729
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0129 AM CST SUN FEB 01 2009
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW AND POLAR JET MAX WILL SLIDE SEWD THROUGH THE NRN HIGH
   PLAINS TODAY...RESULTING IN THE AMPLIFICATION OF AN UPPER TROUGH
   ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
   SSEWD ACROSS KS...OK...NRN TX...AND ERN NM EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN
   WILL SAG SSEWD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TX BY MONDAY MORNING. STRONG
   WINDS AND MARGINAL RHS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WHILE A
   WIND SHIFT WILL POSE A THREAT TO ANY ONGOING FIRES.
   
   MEANWHILE AS THE UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE CENTRAL
   STATES...A PACIFIC RIDGE WILL SHIFT ONSHORE AND AMPLIFY OVER THE
   WEST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE GREAT
   BASIN...AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TO SRN CA. HOWEVER...OFFICIALS
   REPORT THAT FUEL CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE TO FIRE STARTS AT THIS
   TIME...AND THEREFORE NO CRITICAL AREA WILL BE OUTLINED.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY FOLLOWING A COLD FRONTAL
   PASSAGE...MAINLY 50S ACROSS SRN KS...OK...THE TX PANHANDLE...AND ERN
   NM...AND 60S ACROSS NRN TX. RHS WILL BE MARGINAL...WITH VALUES IN
   THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S. THESE MARGINAL TEMPERATURE/RH VALUES WILL
   PRECLUDE A CRITICAL DESIGNATION AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...A HEIGHTENED
   FIRE THREAT WILL STILL EXIST. REVIEW OF SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED
   SEVERAL FIRE STARTS YESTERDAY ACROSS KS/OK/TX AND ERN NM. A FEW HOT
   SPOTS ARE STILL VISIBLE ACROSS WRN OK. WITH ONGOING DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...WINDS WILL
   POSE A THREAT TO ANY ONGOING FIRES...IN ADDITION TO ANY NEW STARTS
   THAT MAY BE POSSIBLE TODAY. SWLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
   QUICKLY SHIFT TO WLY THEN NWLY/NLY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
   SPEEDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT WITH 20 TO 30 MPH SUSTAINED
   AND HIGHER GUSTS.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 02/01/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010810
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0210 AM CST SUN FEB 01 2009
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR S CNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE ERN CONUS WHILE
   UPPER RIDGING WILL AMPLIFY IN THE WEST. BETWEEN THE TWO IN THE CNTRL
   AND SRN PLAINS...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH FAR SRN/SERN TX OUT
   OVER THE GULF EARLY IN THE DAY...LEAVING DRY NLY CONTINENTAL FLOW IN
   ITS WAKE. LOW RH WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND SRN
   PLAINS...ALTHOUGH GENERALLY WITH LIGHT WINDS. HOWEVER FARTHER
   S...LOW RH AND GUSTY NLY WINDS WILL AFFECT S CNTRL TX WHERE SEVERE
   TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE PERSISTING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - S CNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH...WIND...SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT
   
   A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OUT INTO THE GULF EARLY IN THE DAY WITH
   NLY/NELY WINDS FOLLOWING. INITIAL WINDS NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
   MORNING WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON. AS
   TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE LOWER 60S...STRONGER WINDS
   WILL BEGIN TO MIX TO THE SURFACE...AND GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH WILL BE
   POSSIBLE. RHS NEAR THE COAST WILL BE SOMEWHAT MARGINAL.
   HOWEVER...FARTHER INLAND IN S CNTRL TX RHS WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER
   TEENS AND LOWER 20S. GIVEN SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS
   AND THE DRY NATURE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...A HEIGHTENED FIRE THREAT
   WILL EXIST.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 02/01/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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