Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 020716
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0116 AM CST MON FEB 02 2009
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN/CNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY OVER THE CENTRAL STATES WHILE
   UPPER RIDGING AMPLIFIES OVER THE WEST. BETWEEN THE TWO...A COLD
   FRONT IS SLOWLY PUSHING SEWD THROUGH TX...AND
   CONVECTION/PRECIPITATION HAS DEVELOPED IN FAR ERN TX.
   
   THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SEWD THIS MORNING...PUSHING OUT
   INTO THE GULF BY 12Z. IN ITS WAKE...COOLER...BUT VERY DRY NLY/NELY
   WINDS WILL FOLLOW. LOW RH WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND SRN
   PLAINS...ALTHOUGH GENERALLY WITH LIGHT WINDS. HOWEVER...FARTHER S
   ACROSS CNTRL AND SRN TX...STRONG WINDS WILL ALIGN WITH LOW RH WHERE
   SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE PERSISTING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN/CNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH...WIND...SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT
   
   LITTLE RH RECOVERY IS BEING SEEN FOLLOWING A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
   OVERNIGHT IN TEXAS AS DRY CONTINENTAL FLOW IS GENERALLY KEEPING
   VALUES IN THE 30S AND 40S. MARGINAL IMPROVEMENT BEFORE SUNRISE IS
   EXPECTED BEFORE VALUES QUICKLY DROP ONCE AGAIN. LOW RHS SEEN
   YESTERDAY AND SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN TX WILL
   ONLY HEIGHTEN THE FIRE THREAT AS AFTERNOON RH VALUES FALL INTO THE
   UPPER TEENS FARTHER INLAND...AND LOWER TO MID 30S NEAR THE COAST.
   
   INITIAL WINDS FOLLOWING THE FRONT ARE GENERALLY 10 TO 15 MPH THIS
   MORNING...AND AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE...SPEEDS OF NEAR 15
   TO 25 MPH WILL BE LIKELY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. STRONGER GUSTS OF 35
   MPH WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 50S
   AND LOWER 60S. BY LATE AFTERNOON WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
   DIMINISH...ALTHOUGH LOW RHS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE EVENING.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 02/02/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 020758
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0158 AM CST MON FEB 02 2009
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NRN AND CNTRL FL...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EWD TOWARDS THE
   ATLANTIC COAST. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH S FL
   EARLY IN THE DAY...WHILE A SECOND DRIER COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO
   MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY
   BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT
   MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH IN GENERAL
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE TOO COOL FOR FIRE CONCERNS. THE EXCEPTION WILL
   BE ACROSS NRN AND CNTRL FL...WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO THE MID
   TO UPPER 50S.
   
   MEANWHILE IN THE WEST...A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT
   OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AHEAD OF THE NEXT PACIFIC LOW. SURFACE
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER NEAR THE ID/WY/UT BORDERS...AND OFFSHORE
   FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS SRN CA. ALTHOUGH DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALIGN
   WITH GUSTY WINDS...AUTHORITIES HAVE REPORTED THAT FUEL CONDITIONS
   ARE NOT CONDUCIVE TO FIRE STARTS AT THIS TIME.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NRN AND CNTRL FL...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH...WIND...DEVELOPING DROUGHT
   
   A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD THROUGH FLORIDA EARLY TUESDAY
   MORNING...WITH COOL AND DRY NWLY FLOW FOLLOWING. DESPITE RELATIVELY
   COOL DAYTIME HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 50S...RHS ARE
   EXPECTED TO DROP FOR EXTENDED DURATIONS INTO THE MID 20S ACROSS NRN
   FL...AND MID 30S ACROSS CNTRL FL AND CLOSER TO THE COAST. NWLY WINDS
   NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL.
   ALTHOUGH SOME RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THE FRONTAL
   PASSAGE...ANTECEDENT DRYNESS/DROUGHT IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG
   WINDS AND LOW RH SHOULD ALLOW QUICK DRYING TO OCCUR.
   
   ...SRN/CNTRL TX...
   ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER COMPARED TO D1...TEMPERATURES
   WILL BE WARMER...WITH VALUES REACHING INTO THE MID 60S INLAND TO
   UPPER 70S ACROSS FAR SRN TX. ONCE AGAIN RHS WILL PLUMMET INTO THE
   TEENS FARTHER INLAND...WHILE VALUES NEAR THE LOW TO MID 20S WILL BE
   LIKELY ELSEWHERE. GIVEN SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND
   WEEKS OF NEARLY NEGLIGIBLE PRECIPITATION...A HEIGHTENED FIRE THREAT
   WILL STILL EXIST.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 02/02/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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