Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 020716
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0116 AM CST MON FEB 02 2009
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN/CNTRL TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY OVER THE CENTRAL STATES WHILE
UPPER RIDGING AMPLIFIES OVER THE WEST. BETWEEN THE TWO...A COLD
FRONT IS SLOWLY PUSHING SEWD THROUGH TX...AND
CONVECTION/PRECIPITATION HAS DEVELOPED IN FAR ERN TX.
THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SEWD THIS MORNING...PUSHING OUT
INTO THE GULF BY 12Z. IN ITS WAKE...COOLER...BUT VERY DRY NLY/NELY
WINDS WILL FOLLOW. LOW RH WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND SRN
PLAINS...ALTHOUGH GENERALLY WITH LIGHT WINDS. HOWEVER...FARTHER S
ACROSS CNTRL AND SRN TX...STRONG WINDS WILL ALIGN WITH LOW RH WHERE
SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE PERSISTING.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN/CNTRL TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH...WIND...SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT
LITTLE RH RECOVERY IS BEING SEEN FOLLOWING A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
OVERNIGHT IN TEXAS AS DRY CONTINENTAL FLOW IS GENERALLY KEEPING
VALUES IN THE 30S AND 40S. MARGINAL IMPROVEMENT BEFORE SUNRISE IS
EXPECTED BEFORE VALUES QUICKLY DROP ONCE AGAIN. LOW RHS SEEN
YESTERDAY AND SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN TX WILL
ONLY HEIGHTEN THE FIRE THREAT AS AFTERNOON RH VALUES FALL INTO THE
UPPER TEENS FARTHER INLAND...AND LOWER TO MID 30S NEAR THE COAST.
INITIAL WINDS FOLLOWING THE FRONT ARE GENERALLY 10 TO 15 MPH THIS
MORNING...AND AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE...SPEEDS OF NEAR 15
TO 25 MPH WILL BE LIKELY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. STRONGER GUSTS OF 35
MPH WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 50S
AND LOWER 60S. BY LATE AFTERNOON WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH...ALTHOUGH LOW RHS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE EVENING.
..HURLBUT.. 02/02/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 020758
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 AM CST MON FEB 02 2009
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NRN AND CNTRL FL...
...SYNOPSIS...
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EWD TOWARDS THE
ATLANTIC COAST. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH S FL
EARLY IN THE DAY...WHILE A SECOND DRIER COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO
MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY
BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT
MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH IN GENERAL
TEMPERATURES WILL BE TOO COOL FOR FIRE CONCERNS. THE EXCEPTION WILL
BE ACROSS NRN AND CNTRL FL...WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO THE MID
TO UPPER 50S.
MEANWHILE IN THE WEST...A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT
OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AHEAD OF THE NEXT PACIFIC LOW. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER NEAR THE ID/WY/UT BORDERS...AND OFFSHORE
FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS SRN CA. ALTHOUGH DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALIGN
WITH GUSTY WINDS...AUTHORITIES HAVE REPORTED THAT FUEL CONDITIONS
ARE NOT CONDUCIVE TO FIRE STARTS AT THIS TIME.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NRN AND CNTRL FL...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH...WIND...DEVELOPING DROUGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD THROUGH FLORIDA EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...WITH COOL AND DRY NWLY FLOW FOLLOWING. DESPITE RELATIVELY
COOL DAYTIME HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 50S...RHS ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP FOR EXTENDED DURATIONS INTO THE MID 20S ACROSS NRN
FL...AND MID 30S ACROSS CNTRL FL AND CLOSER TO THE COAST. NWLY WINDS
NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL.
ALTHOUGH SOME RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE...ANTECEDENT DRYNESS/DROUGHT IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RH SHOULD ALLOW QUICK DRYING TO OCCUR.
...SRN/CNTRL TX...
ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER COMPARED TO D1...TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WARMER...WITH VALUES REACHING INTO THE MID 60S INLAND TO
UPPER 70S ACROSS FAR SRN TX. ONCE AGAIN RHS WILL PLUMMET INTO THE
TEENS FARTHER INLAND...WHILE VALUES NEAR THE LOW TO MID 20S WILL BE
LIKELY ELSEWHERE. GIVEN SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND
WEEKS OF NEARLY NEGLIGIBLE PRECIPITATION...A HEIGHTENED FIRE THREAT
WILL STILL EXIST.
..HURLBUT.. 02/02/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...