Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 110939
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0339 AM CST WED FEB 11 2009
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
POTENT UPPER-LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE SRN PLAINS WILL
RAPIDLY EJECT NEWD INTO THE NORTHEAST. ATTENDANT SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL SWEEP EWD ACROSS THE LOWER/MIDDLE-MS RIVER VALLEY AND THROUGH
THE ERN SEABOARD BY EARLY THU. AN UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH OFF THE
PACIFIC NW COAST WILL DROP SWD INTO CA.
...S-CNTRL/DEEP S TX...
GUSTY NWLY WINDS HAVE ACCOMPANIED STRONG PRESSURE RISES IN THE WAKE
OF A COLD FRONT PASSAGE EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS HAS RESULTED IN
SUBSTANTIAL DRYING WITH AREAS OF RH VALUES FALLING TO BETWEEN 10 AND
20 PERCENT. ALTHOUGH SOME RECOVERY WILL OCCUR THROUGH DAYBREAK GIVEN
CAA AND RADIATIVE COOLING...LOW RH SHOULD BECOME WIDESPREAD TOWARDS
NOON. HOWEVER...LOW-LEVEL FLOW HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN UPSTREAM /AS
NOTED IN DEL RIO VAD PROFILER/...AND SHOULD MARKEDLY DECREASE LATER
THIS MORNING AS THE CYCLONE CENTERED OVER N-CNTRL OK ACCELERATES
NEWD. THIS SUGGESTS THE CRITICAL THREAT SHOULD BE SHORT-LIVED AND
DOES NOT APPEAR SUFFICIENT TO WARRANT AN AREAL ISSUANCE.
..GRAMS.. 02/11/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 110941
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0341 AM CST WED FEB 11 2009
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE WITH A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH EVOLVING EWD FROM CA TOWARDS THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...AND
A VIGOROUS UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIGGING ALONG THE PACIFIC
NW/NRN CA COAST. IN ADVANCE OF THE INITIAL WAVE...A LEE CYCLONE
SHOULD BECOME CENTERED OVER NERN NM THU AFTERNOON.
...S-CNTRL/SERN NM AND FAR W TX...
SWLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
APPROACHES THE FOUR CORNERS DURING THE DAY THU. SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS WILL LIKELY BREACH 20 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND THIS
SHOULD BE JUXTAPOSED WITH RH VALUES FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT.
HOWEVER...OVERALL DURATION OF THE STRONG WINDS APPEARS TOO MARGINAL
TO WARRANT A CRITICAL AREA.
...LOW ROLLING PLAINS/EDWARDS PLATEAU OF TX...
A VERY DRY ANTECEDENT AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE AS LOW-LEVEL RETURN
FLOW STRENGTHENS WITH A LEE CYCLONE DEEPENING OVER NERN NM.
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 70S WILL RESULT IN LOW RH
FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT. ALTHOUGH MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE
INCREASING SLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW BENEATH AN ELEVATED MIXED LAYER...THEY
DIFFER MORE SUBSTANTIALLY WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE WINDS. CONSENSUS
WOULD SUGGEST SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS MAY BRIEFLY REACH 20 MPH AND
COULD RESULT IN A LOCALIZED/SHORT-DURATION CRITICAL THREAT.
..GRAMS.. 02/11/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...