Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 200753
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0153 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2009
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF FL...AL...GA...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM...NWRN/N CNTRL TX...WRN
OK...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW WILL QUICKLY EXIT NEWD OUT OF NEW ENGLAND. THE MAIN
TROUGH AXIS...CURRENTLY EXTENDING THROUGH THE ERN STATES...WILL MOVE
OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE ATLANTIC BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MEANWHILE...A COOL AND DRY CONTINENTAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
OFFSHORE OF SRN FL BY THE MORNING...AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO SLIDE EWD...BECOMING STATIONED ROUGHLY OVER THE CAROLINAS BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD. IN GENERAL WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST THAN YESTERDAY...ALTHOUGH RHS WILL BE MUCH LOWER.
MEANWHILE FARTHER W...AN UPPER LOW WILL QUICKLY DIVE SEWD INTO THE
NRN THEN CNTRL PLAINS BEFORE MOVING EWD TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES LATE
IN THE PERIOD. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...A SURFACE LOW WILL FORM INVOF
SERN CO WHILE ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY SLIDES INTO THE PLAINS TO
THE N OF THIS. SWLY TO SLY WINDS NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
WILL ALIGN WITH LOW RHS ACROSS ERN NM...NWRN/N CNTRL TX...AND WRN
OK. FARTHER E ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN OK...ERN TX...AND AR WINDS
WILL BE STRONG AS WELL...ALTHOUGH RHS IN GENERAL WILL BE HIGHER.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF FL...AL...GA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EWD THROUGH THE
DAY...BECOMING CENTERED ROUGHLY OVER THE CAROLINAS LATE IN THE
PERIOD. IN GENERAL WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER THAN YESTERDAY...ALTHOUGH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 10 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. PWAT ANALYSIS AND
SATELLITE IMAGERY ARE REFLECTIVE OF A VERY DRY AIRMASS AND RHS WILL
DROP TO EXTREMELY LOW VALUES ACROSS A WIDESPREAD AREA FOR EXTENDED
HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. VALUES IN THE TEENS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS
INLAND AL/GA...UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NRN
FL...CNTRL FL WILL DROP INTO THE MID 20S...AND LOWER 30S WILL BE
LIKELY IN SRN FL. AREAS SURROUNDING THE CRITICAL WILL BE VERY DRY AS
WELL...ALTHOUGH COOLER TEMPERATURES MAY HELP TO MITIGATE THE THREAT.
GIVEN ABNORMALLY DRY TO MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF
THE SOUTH...AN ENHANCED FIRE THREAT WILL EXIST.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ERN NM...NWRN/N CNTRL TX...AND WRN
OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP INVOF SERN CO AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER
SHORT WAVE DIVING SEWD INTO THE NRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS. IN
RESPONSE AND AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SERN STATES...STRONG SLY TO SWLY WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE SRN
PLAINS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE
LIKELY. THE RECENT COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE HAS LEFT VERY LITTLE
MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTH IN ITS WAKE...AND EVEN A SHIFT IN THE
WINDS TO SLY/SWLY WILL ALLOW LITTLE MOISTURE TO RETURN TO THE AREA.
EXPECT RHS TO GENERALLY DROP INTO THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S ACROSS THE
CRITICAL AREA. AREAS SURROUNDING THE CRITICAL WILL EXPERIENCE
MARGINAL RHS...ALTHOUGH GIVEN STRONG WINDS AND SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL
DROUGHT...A HEIGHTENED FIRE THREAT WILL EXIST.
..HURLBUT.. 02/20/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 200826
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2009
VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND
GRADUALLY BEGIN TO AMPLIFY AS A JET AXIS DIGS AROUND THE BACKSIDE.
THE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER THE OH/TN VALLEYS LATE IN THE
PERIOD...WITH DRY CONTINENTAL FLOW CONTINUING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES. MEANWHILE...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL LINGER OVER THE WESTERN
STATES AS AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SPIN OFFSHORE OF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST COAST.
AT THE SURFACE...ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SWD INTO THE CNTRL
AND SRN PLAINS DRIVING A COLD FRONT INTO THE WRN GULF BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD. COOL AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT...WITH
A MARGINAL FIRE THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF OK/TX. MEANWHILE...SLY TO
SELY WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHEAST AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO
THE OPEN ATLANTIC AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...MOISTURE
WILL BE SLOW TO RETURN...AND ANOTHER DAY OF LOW RHS WILL BE
WIDESPREAD.
...PORTIONS OF OK/TX...
MARGINAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL BE PREVALENT FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF
A COLD FRONT. STRONG WINDS WILL COMMENCE BY LATE MORNING...WITH
SUSTAINED NLY WINDS NEAR 25 TO 30 MPH...ALTHOUGH ALIGNED WITH HIGHER
RHS. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS RHS
FALL. BY THE TIME RHS FALL INTO THE 20S AND 30S...WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE UNDER 10 MPH. HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE A FEW HOURS WHERE
LOW RH/STRONG WINDS OVERLAP IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON...ENHANCING THE
FIRE THREAT.
...SERN STATES...
SLY/SELY WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHEAST AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS
INTO THE ATLANTIC AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM A FEW DEGREES COMPARED TO DAY 1...ALTHOUGH RHS WILL STILL DROP
INTO THE 20S ACROSS A WIDESPREAD AREA. AREAS ALONG EAST COAST...AND
ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF THE PANHANDLE OF FL WILL EXPERIENCE RH
IMPROVEMENT AND SHOULD NOT FALL TO CRITICAL VALUES. WINDS IN GENERAL
WILL BE 10 MPH OR LESS.
..HURLBUT.. 02/20/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...