Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 050836
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0236 AM CST THU MAR 05 2009
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN CO...ERN NM...TX/OK
   PANHANDLES...WRN OK AND SWRN KS...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NM...NWRN TX...CNTRL AND
   WRN OK...CNTRL AND WRN KS...SWRN NEB AND NERN CO...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL EXIST OVER THE SWRN U.S...WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM
   DIVING SWD OUT OF WRN CANADA INTO THE PACIFIC NW. THESE FEATURES
   WILL ACT TO FLATTEN THE RIDGE ACROSS THE CNTRL U.S...AND WILL SHIFT
   IT EWD INTO THE MS/OH VALLEYS. VERY WARM AND DRY AIR WILL SPREAD NWD
   ACROSS THE PLAINS...WITH EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE
   CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. TO THE E...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN
   CONTROL...CENTERED JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. LOW AFTERNOON RH
   WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SERN U.S. WITH MAINLY LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ERN CO...ERN NM...TX/OK
   PANHANDLES...WRN OK AND SWRN KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND VERY LOW RH...WARM TEMPERATURES
   AND A HIGH HAINES INDEX
   
   EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE
   POTENTIAL FOR LARGE WIND DRIVEN FIRES.
   
   LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OVER WRN KS UNDER A SWLY FLOW REGIME ALOFT.
   WITH A VERY DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE...SWLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW AS WELL AS
   MIXING WILL RESULT IN A VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. RH IN THE
   SINGLE DIGITS WILL BE COMMON BY LATE AFTERNOON...FROM THE CO FRONT
   RANGE INTO NWRN TX. TEMPERATURES OVER ERN CO WILL NOT BE AS WARM AS
   FARTHER S...BUT SOME VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH ARE LIKELY
   ALONG WITH VERY LOW RH IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.
   
   TO THE S...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 80S FROM NERN NM
   INTO SWRN KS...RESULTING IN VERY DEEP MIXING LAYERS AND A HIGH
   HAINES INDEX. SWLY SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 MPH WILL OCCUR WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH AT TIMES. THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND
   EXTREMELY LOW RH LEVELS ALONG WITH STRONG SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS
   INDICATE THAT LARGE AND DANGEROUS FIRES WILL BE POSSIBLE. RH WILL BE
   SLOW TO RECOVER DURING THE EVENING...WITH WINDS REMAINING GUSTY AT
   TIMES OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NM...NWRN TX...CNTRL AND WRN
   OK...CNTRL AND WRN KS...SWRN NEB AND NERN CO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   SURROUNDING THE EXTREME AREA...A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW
   RH WILL EXTEND FROM NM TO SWRN NEBRASKA. THE ERN FRINGES OF THE
   CRITICAL AREA WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR MIDLAND TX TO JUST W OF TULSA OK
   TO NORTH PLATTE NEB. ALTHOUGH THE MOST INTENSE FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
   NOT EXPECTED WITHIN THESE AREAS...STRONG WINDS...DRY FUELS AND LOW
   HUMIDITY ALONG WITH WARM TEMPERATURES WILL STILL RESULT IN A FIRE
   HAZARD THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   ANOTHER MILD BUT DRY DAY IS IN STORE FOR THE SERN U.S. INCLUDING FL
   WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE. THE DRIEST FUELS REMAIN OVER CNTRL AND
   SRN FL WHERE SEVERE DROUGHT PERSISTS. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL DIP
   INTO THE 20 PERCENT RANGE FROM THE CAROLINAS WITH VALUES IN THE 30S
   OVER INTERIOR FL. RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS WILL HELP MITIGATE THE
   OVERALL THREAT...ALTHOUGH THE THREAT OF FIRE STARTS WILL BE ELEVATED
   DUE TO A FEW HOURS OF LOW RH.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/05/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 050837
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0237 AM CST THU MAR 05 2009
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE POSITIVE TILT TROUGH WILL BE SITUATED ACROSS THE GREAT
   BASIN/ROCKIES WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING OVER ERN CO BY
   AFTERNOON. STRONG SLY WINDS WILL AGAIN OCCUR OVER THE SRN AND CNTRL
   PLAINS IN THE WARM SECTOR...WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH OVER
   THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SERN U.S.
   ALTHOUGH MODIFYING SLIGHTLY WITH CONTINUED LOW AFTERNOON RH AND WEAK
   WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OVER ERN CO AS AN UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY
   APPROACHES. WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG EARLY IN THE DAY...BUT WILL
   PICK UP RAPIDLY DURING THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS NEAR 30
   MPH WILL OCCUR OVER NM AND CO AS WELL AS THE TX/OK PANHANDLES WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH ACROSS NM AND SE CO. RH LEVELS WILL NOT BE
   AS LOW AS ON THURSDAY...BUT VALUES IN THE 10-20 PERCENT RANGE WILL
   BE LIKELY. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY INTO THE EVENING WITH
   GRADUAL RH RECOVERY BY MORNING.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/05/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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