Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 080709
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0109 AM CST SUN MAR 08 2009
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS WILL QUICKLY LIFT NEWD
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION...BECOMING POSITIONED OVER ERN
ONTARIO LATE IN THE PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW WILL MOVE INTO
THE WRN GREAT LAKES BY AFTERNOON...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD
THROUGH THE MS VALLEY...THEN WSWWD INTO CNTRL TX WHERE IT WILL BEGIN
TO STALL.
MEANWHILE UPPER RIDGING OVER THE CNTRL STATES WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS
THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH IN THE WEST BEGINS TO DEEPEN. THIS WILL
OVERSPREAD SWLY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST AND THE CENTRAL STATES
BY THE AFTERNOON. IN RESPONSE...LEE TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP...AND
SLY/SWLY SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NM/TX/OK/KS
AND CO. ALTHOUGH SPEEDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER THAN PREVIOUS
DAYS...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED
FIRE THREAT.
...ERN NM/TX AND OK PANHANDLES/SWRN KS/SERN CO...
LEE TROUGHING WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF INCREASING SWLY FLOW
ALOFT AS AN UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE WESTERN STATES. MARGINAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RESULT ACROSS THE AREA BY THE
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...WITH
VALUES GENERALLY IN THE 60S. DESPITE THIS...RHS WILL DROP INTO THE
TEENS...MAINLY ACROSS ERN NM...THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES...SWRN
KS...AND SERN CO. SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE
MARGINAL...WITH 15 TO 25 MPH EXPECTED AND BRIEF GUSTS TO 40 MPH
POSSIBLE. THE GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OF STRONG WINDS ALIGNING WITH LOW
RH APPEARS TO BE NERN NM AND THE TX PANHANDLES...ALTHOUGH DURATION
WILL BE LIKELY BE SHORT.
..HURLBUT.. 03/08/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 080754
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 AM CST SUN MAR 08 2009
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM...TX/OK PANHANDLES...SERN
CO...SWRN KS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A WESTERN TROUGH WILL DIG INTO THE CNTRL ROCKIES...INDUCING A
SURFACE LOW NEAR THE CO/KS BORDERS. SWLY/SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS...ALIGNING WITH LOW/MARGINAL RHS NEAR
ERN NM...THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...SERN CO...AND SWRN KS. DRY
CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WHILE
WINDS SLOWLY SHIFT TO WLY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ERN NM...TX/OK PANHANDLES...SERN
CO...SWRN KS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH
LATEST TRENDS/OBSERVATIONS APPEAR TO INDICATE PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS
HAVE OVERESTIMATED THE EXTENT OF DRY AIR THAT WILL AFFECT THE
REGION. A SPLIT FLOW REGIME HAS BEEN PREDOMINANT...WITH THE SOUTHERN
MOST JET ALLOWING A MODIFIED PACIFIC AIRMASS TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA.
AS THE WESTERN TROUGH BEGINS TO DIG...THE ORIENTATION OF THE
SOUTHERN STREAM JET WILL ALLOW FOR A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF HIGH
CLOUDS TO STREAM INTO THE SRN PLAINS...WITH THE WESTERN EDGE OVER
THE CRITICAL OUTLINE. LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVE REFLECTED THIS...WITH
RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURE FORECASTS WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S...AND MARGINAL RHS IN THE 20S. SHOULD A TREND FOR HIGHER
RHS CONTINUE IN SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS...THE CRITICAL WILL BE REDUCED
TO A SEE TEXT. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE STILL ANTICIPATED TO BE
STRONG...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 45
MPH. DRY CONDITIONS MAY LINGER OVERNIGHT AS WINDS SLOWLY SHIFT TO
WLY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. AT THE MOMENT...THE GREATEST LIKELIHOOD
OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS APPEARS TO BE NEAR THE TX/OK PANHANDLES.
..HURLBUT.. 03/08/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...