Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 090615
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0115 AM CDT MON MAR 09 2009
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SPLIT FLOW REGIME EXISTS OVER THE STATES THIS MORNING...WITH A
SOUTHERN STREAM JET ALLOWING A MODIFIED PACIFIC AIRMASS TO
OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...WHILE A SECOND JET WILL ALLOW A WESTERN TROUGH TO DIG INTO
THE CNTRL ROCKIES TODAY. THIS WILL DEEPEN A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE
CO/KS BORDERS. SWLY/SLY SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE SRN PLAINS...ALIGNING WITH MARGINAL RHS MAINLY NEAR THE TX/OK
PANHANDLES AND SERN CO. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO WLY AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT.
...TX/OK PANHANDLES AND SERN CO...
AS WAS PREVIOUSLY DISCUSSED...A SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM HAS ALLOWED
FOR A MODIFIED PACIFIC AIRMASS TO OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST
AND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN RECORDED
OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS IN SRN AZ AND NM...AND AN INCREASE IN
MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY SPREAD NEWD THROUGH THE DAY. CONSIDERABLE HIGH
CLOUDINESS IS NOTED...AND WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REGION. THIS
WILL LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF HEATING THAT CAN OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...AND
TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
CONSEQUENTLY...PREVIOUSLY FORECAST LOW RHS WILL BE DIFFICULT TO
REACH. OVERALL RHS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE MARGINAL/ABOVE
CRITICAL...WITH THE LOWEST VALUES OF LOW TO MID 20S POSSIBLE NEAR
THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...AND IN SERN CO. SHOULD BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS
ALLOW MORE HEATING...CRITICALLY LOW RHS MAY BE MET. DESPITE MARGINAL
RHS...STRONG WINDS ARE STILL ANTICIPATED FROM SERN NM NEWD INTO WRN
TX/OK...SWRN KS...AND SERN CO. SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH CAN BE ANTICIPATED...ALTHOUGH SPEEDS OF 20
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL BE MORE LIKELY NEAR THE SURFACE
LOW...JUXTAPOSED WITH AFOREMENTIONED MARGINAL RHS. WITH THE
MARGINALITY OF ANTICIPATED RHS...THE CRITICAL HAS BEEN REDUCED TO A
SEE TEXT. HOWEVER...GIVEN DROUGHT/ANTECEDENT DRYNESS...EVEN WITH
MARGINAL/ABOVE CRITICAL RHS...STRONG WINDS MAY FURTHER DRY
FUELS...WITH WINDS CONTRIBUTING TO RAPID SPREAD SHOULD THERE BE FIRE
STARTS.
..HURLBUT.. 03/09/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 090651
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0151 AM CDT MON MAR 09 2009
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL ROCKIES WILL INTENSIFY AND QUICKLY
MOVE NEWD TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. MEANWHILE A BROAD SURFACE
LOW EXTENDING FROM SERN CO INTO ERN KS WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN AND MOVE
NEWD THROUGH WISCONSIN AND INTO NWRN ONTARIO BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. THIS WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT SWD INTO CNTRL TX...WITH COOLER
AND DRIER AIR FOLLOWING. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS MAY AFFECT
PORTIONS OF NERN NM AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLES BEFORE THE FRONT PASSES
AND WINDS BEGIN TO RELAX.
MEANWHILE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES...HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST...WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS AFFECTING THE REGION. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT.
...NERN NM AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...
INITIALLY SWLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WLY AND INCREASE BY LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF
20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY COOL...ONLY REACHING
IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. FURTHERMORE...CONSIDERABLE HIGH CLOUDINESS
MAY LINGER BEFORE THE UPPER TROUGH CAN MOVE NEWD...AND MAY ALSO
CONTRIBUTE TO LOWER TEMPERATURES AND CONSEQUENTLY MARGINAL RHS. IF
THE HIGH CLOUDS CAN CLEAR THE AREA IN TIME ALLOWING FOR FURTHER
WARMING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY BE BRIEFLY MET. WINDS WILL SHIFT
TO NWLY BY AFTERNOON/EVENING AS THE FRONT PASSES...AND TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN TO FALL. MUCH COOLER BUT DRIER AIR WILL FOLLOW...AND RHS
WILL BE SLOW TO RECOVER OVERNIGHT.
..HURLBUT.. 03/09/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...