Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 100638
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0138 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR E CNTRL NM...TX PANHANDLE...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL ROCKIES WILL INTENSIFY AND QUICKLY
   MOVE NEWD TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. MEANWHILE A BROAD SURFACE
   LOW EXTENDING FROM SERN CO INTO SERN KS WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN AND MOVE
   NEWD THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND INTO NWRN ONTARIO BY THE
   END OF THE PERIOD. THIS WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT SWD INTO CNTRL
   TX...WITH MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOLLOWING. DRY AND WINDY
   CONDITIONS WILL BRIEFLY AFFECT PORTIONS OF E CNTRL NM AND THE TX
   PANHANDLES BEFORE THE FRONT PASSES AND WINDS BEGIN TO RELAX. FARTHER
   E ACROSS KS/OK...STRONG NLY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT...ALTHOUGH
   COOL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVENT CRITICALLY LOW RHS.
   
   MEANWHILE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES...HIGH PRESSURE WILL
   PERSIST...WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS AFFECTING THE REGION.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS OVER
   INLAND CNTRL FL...ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - E CNTRL NM...TX PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH...STRONG WINDS...DROUGHT
   
   05Z SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE STRONG COLD FRONT...NOW MOVING
   INTO NWRN OK...IS MOVING SWD FASTER THAN MODEL FORECASTS. THIS WILL
   SOMEWHAT LIMIT THE AREAL EXTENT OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS...WITH THE
   NERN TX PANHANDLE AND NWRN OK/THE OK PANHANDLE NOW EXPECTED TO
   REMAIN SUBCRITICAL...DESPITE PREVIOUS FORECASTS. FAST PROGRESSION OF
   THE FRONT ALSO LEADS TO A SMALLER WINDOW FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS
   ACROSS E CNTRL NM AND THE REMAINDER OF THE TX PANHANDLE.
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER TODAY...WITH HIGH CLOUDS INITIALLY
   LIMITING HEATING AS WELL. BY 18Z...OR EARLY AFTERNOON...CLOUDS WILL
   BEGIN TO CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST...AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO
   THE 60S. WINDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST AROUND THIS TIME AHEAD OF THE
   FRONT AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN MARGINAL...AND LOW TO MID 20S
   PREVAIL. SHOULD HIGH CLOUDS MOVE EWD FASTER OR BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS
   ALLOW FOR MORE HEATING...CRITICAL VALUES WILL BE MET FASTER. WLY
   WINDS NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. THE
   FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND WINDS WILL
   SHIFT TO NWLY AND RELAX. COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S WILL FOLLOW
   ALONG WITH DRIER AIR...SO AS TEMPERATURES FALL RHS WILL FALL AS
   WELL...AND VALUES IN THE TEENS CAN BE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL
   RELAX TO 15 TO 20 MPH. RHS WILL QUICKLY RECOVER BY EVENING AS
   TEMPERATURES PLUMMET...DROPPING TO SUBFREEZING VALUES OVERNIGHT.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 03/10/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 100710
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0210 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A GRADUAL DEAMPLIFICATION OF THE PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO OCCUR AS AN
   UPPER LOW QUICKLY MOVES NEWD THROUGH QUEBEC AND NEARLY ZONAL FLOW
   FOLLOWS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE A WEAK UPPER
   LOW DRIFTING INTO CNTRL CA. 
   
   AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE OF THE NERN
   STATES...THEN EXTEND SWWD THROUGH THE SERN STATES AND WWD INTO CNTRL
   TX. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CNTRL STATES WILL CONTINUE TO
   BUILD SWD...WITH THE COLD FRONT AND COLDER TEMPERATURES REACHING THE
   WESTERN GULF BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. ALTHOUGH NELY WINDS WILL BE
   SOMEWHAT STRONG ACROSS OK AND NRN TX DURING THE AFTERNOON...20 TO 30
   MPH...COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S WILL LIMIT
   CRITICALLY LOW RHS.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 03/10/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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