Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 040705
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN AZ...SRN/ERN NM...WRN
TX...TX/OK PANHANDLES...FAR WRN OK...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW WILL BE CENTERED OVER CNTRL CO AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD...WITH A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE CO/KS BORDERS. INITIAL WINDS OF
NEAR 15 TO 25 MPH WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
AND INTO THE AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LOW PROGRESSES EWD ACROSS THE
CNTRL PLAINS...AND THE SURFACE LOW SHIFTS EWD TO CNTRL KS BY
AFTERNOON. CRITICALLY LOW RHS WILL ALIGN WITH STRONG WINDS ACROSS
MUCH OF SERN AZ...SRN/ERN NM...WRN TX...THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...AND
FAR WRN OK. A WIND SHIFT WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY AS A COLD FRONT
PROGRESSES SEWD.
FARTHER E...A COLD FRONT HAS PROGRESSED INTO SRN FL...AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW. CRITICALLY LOW RHS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
INLAND PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SRN FL.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN AZ...SRN/ERN NM...WRN
TX...TX/OK PANHANDLES...FAR WRN OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
SURFACE WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF AZ...NM...NWRN TX...AND WRN OK REMAIN
SOMEWHAT STRONG THIS MORNING...WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY 15 TO 25 MPH AS
OF 06Z. PWAT FROM BOTH 00Z SOUNDINGS AND RECENT GOES SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATE A VERY DRY AIRMASS REMAINS OVER MUCH OF THE SWRN
STATES AND SRN PLAINS. THIS AND MILD TEMPERATURES HAVE ALLOWED
LITTLE RH RECOVERY THIS MORNING AFTER YESTERDAYS CRITICAL
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FROM SWRN NM NEWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S ACROSS MUCH
OF THE CRITICAL AREA...WHILE AREAS IN SERN NM AND SWRN TX WILL WARM
INTO THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. RHS IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S WILL
BE COMMON. AS TEMPERATURES WARM...WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE
THROUGH THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS
NEAR 25 TO 40 MPH AND STRONG GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH MIXING TO THE
SURFACE. WINDS ACROSS THE WRN PORTIONS OF THE CRITICAL WILL BEGIN TO
SHIFT TO WLY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT BY LATE MORNING...WITH SIMILAR
SPEEDS BEING MAINTAINED THROUGH THE DAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY
MOVE INTO NWRN OK/TX AND NERN NM BY THE EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL FAST...SUBSEQUENTLY RAISING RHS DESPITE AN OTHERWISE DRY
AIRMASS. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NWLY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE...AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG AND GUSTY...POSING A THREAT
TO ANY ONGOING FIRES. THE FRONT WILL PROGRESS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE CRITICAL AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH A SHIFT TO NWLY WINDS
FOLLOWING IN THESE AREAS AS WELL. COOLER TEMPERATURES FOLLOWING THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE SHOULD HELP TO MITIGATE THE THREAT.
...CNTRL/SRN FL...
ALTHOUGH HEAVY PRECIPITATION WAS RECEIVED ACROSS MUCH OF N
FL...CNTRL AND SRN FL REMAIN DRY...AND CRITICALLY LOW RHS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 80S. CURRENT
RH FORECASTS APPEAR SOMEWHAT MARGINAL...ALTHOUGH THE GREATEST
LIKELIHOOD OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE OVER INLAND AREAS
NORTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE TOWARDS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY.
..HURLBUT.. 04/04/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 040754
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0254 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW INITIALLY OVER THE UPPER MS VALLEY WILL PROGRESS EWD
TOWARDS THE ERN GREAT LAKES...WHILE A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES SWD
INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. IN THE WEST...AN UPPER LOW WILL APPROACH THE
CALIFORNIA COAST...WHILE AMPLIFIED HIGH PRESSURE AND MILD
TEMPERATURES PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE IA/MO BORDERS WILL SWEEP EWD
ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND INTO WRN NY BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
CNTRL PLAINS/SOUTH...REACHING THE APPALACHIANS/SERN STATES BY EARLY
MONDAY.
...CNTRL/SRN TX...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH CNTRL/SRN TX THROUGH THE
MORNING...AND STRONG/GUSTY NLY WINDS NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH WILL FOLLOW.
AT THE MOMENT...RHS APPEAR TO BE MARGINAL. SHOULD LOWER RHS APPEAR
LIKELY IN TOMORROWS FORECAST...A CRITICAL WILL BE ADDED.
..HURLBUT.. 04/04/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...