Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 040705
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0205 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN AZ...SRN/ERN NM...WRN
   TX...TX/OK PANHANDLES...FAR WRN OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW WILL BE CENTERED OVER CNTRL CO AT THE START OF THE
   PERIOD...WITH A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE CO/KS BORDERS. INITIAL WINDS OF
   NEAR 15 TO 25 MPH WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
   AND INTO THE AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LOW PROGRESSES EWD ACROSS THE
   CNTRL PLAINS...AND THE SURFACE LOW SHIFTS EWD TO CNTRL KS BY
   AFTERNOON. CRITICALLY LOW RHS WILL ALIGN WITH STRONG WINDS ACROSS
   MUCH OF SERN AZ...SRN/ERN NM...WRN TX...THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...AND
   FAR WRN OK. A WIND SHIFT WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY AS A COLD FRONT
   PROGRESSES SEWD.
   
   FARTHER E...A COLD FRONT HAS PROGRESSED INTO SRN FL...AND DRY
   CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW. CRITICALLY LOW RHS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
   INLAND PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SRN FL.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN AZ...SRN/ERN NM...WRN
   TX...TX/OK PANHANDLES...FAR WRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
   
   SURFACE WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF AZ...NM...NWRN TX...AND WRN OK REMAIN
   SOMEWHAT STRONG THIS MORNING...WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY 15 TO 25 MPH AS
   OF 06Z. PWAT FROM BOTH 00Z SOUNDINGS AND RECENT GOES SATELLITE
   IMAGERY INDICATE A VERY DRY AIRMASS REMAINS OVER MUCH OF THE SWRN
   STATES AND SRN PLAINS. THIS AND MILD TEMPERATURES HAVE ALLOWED
   LITTLE RH RECOVERY THIS MORNING AFTER YESTERDAYS CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FROM SWRN NM NEWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE.
   TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S ACROSS MUCH
   OF THE CRITICAL AREA...WHILE AREAS IN SERN NM AND SWRN TX WILL WARM
   INTO THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. RHS IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S WILL
   BE COMMON. AS TEMPERATURES WARM...WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE
   THROUGH THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS
   NEAR 25 TO 40 MPH AND STRONG GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH MIXING TO THE
   SURFACE. WINDS ACROSS THE WRN PORTIONS OF THE CRITICAL WILL BEGIN TO
   SHIFT TO WLY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT BY LATE MORNING...WITH SIMILAR
   SPEEDS BEING MAINTAINED THROUGH THE DAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY
   MOVE INTO NWRN OK/TX AND NERN NM BY THE EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL
   FALL FAST...SUBSEQUENTLY RAISING RHS DESPITE AN OTHERWISE DRY
   AIRMASS. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NWLY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL
   PASSAGE...AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG AND GUSTY...POSING A THREAT
   TO ANY ONGOING FIRES. THE FRONT WILL PROGRESS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
   OF THE CRITICAL AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH A SHIFT TO NWLY WINDS
   FOLLOWING IN THESE AREAS AS WELL. COOLER TEMPERATURES FOLLOWING THE
   FRONTAL PASSAGE SHOULD HELP TO MITIGATE THE THREAT.
   
   ...CNTRL/SRN FL...
   ALTHOUGH HEAVY PRECIPITATION WAS RECEIVED ACROSS MUCH OF N
   FL...CNTRL AND SRN FL REMAIN DRY...AND CRITICALLY LOW RHS WILL BE
   POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 80S. CURRENT
   RH FORECASTS APPEAR SOMEWHAT MARGINAL...ALTHOUGH THE GREATEST
   LIKELIHOOD OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE OVER INLAND AREAS
   NORTHWEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE TOWARDS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 04/04/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 040754
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0254 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW INITIALLY OVER THE UPPER MS VALLEY WILL PROGRESS EWD
   TOWARDS THE ERN GREAT LAKES...WHILE A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES SWD
   INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. IN THE WEST...AN UPPER LOW WILL APPROACH THE
   CALIFORNIA COAST...WHILE AMPLIFIED HIGH PRESSURE AND MILD
   TEMPERATURES PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
   
   AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE IA/MO BORDERS WILL SWEEP EWD
   ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND INTO WRN NY BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
   PERIOD. ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
   CNTRL PLAINS/SOUTH...REACHING THE APPALACHIANS/SERN STATES BY EARLY
   MONDAY.
   
   ...CNTRL/SRN TX...
   A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH CNTRL/SRN TX THROUGH THE
   MORNING...AND STRONG/GUSTY NLY WINDS NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH WILL FOLLOW.
   AT THE MOMENT...RHS APPEAR TO BE MARGINAL. SHOULD LOWER RHS APPEAR
   LIKELY IN TOMORROWS FORECAST...A CRITICAL WILL BE ADDED.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 04/04/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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