Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 090721
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0221 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2009
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EXTREME SRN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY
IN CA...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN CA/SRN NV/SRN UT/SWRN CO/N
AND CNTRL AZ/WRN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE WEST...WEAK UPPER RIDGING OVER SRN CA AND A RELATIVELY TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO A SHORT WINDOW OF CRITICAL
CONDITIONS THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO
WLY...SOMEWHAT TEMPERING THE THREAT IN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THIS...WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGHING AND A 50 TO 60
KT JET WILL DEEPEN A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST...WITH
SUBTLE DEEPENING OF A LOW NEAR THE SERN UT/SWRN CO BORDERS.
STRONG/GUSTY WINDS WILL ALIGN WITH HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHWEST.
FARTHER E...BY LATE AFTERNOON A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM COASTAL
NEW ENGLAND SWWD THROUGH THE APPALACHIANS AND WWD INTO CNTRL TX.
MEANWHILE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER FLORIDA...WITH
HOT/DRY CONDITIONS LIKELY ACROSS INLAND FLORIDA BY AFTERNOON. ISOLD
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY LITTLE RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
OVER FAR INLAND CNTRL/SRN FL.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - EXTREME SRN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY IN
CA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...WARM/HOT
TEMPERATURES...MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT
05Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A RELATIVELY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
LINGERING ACROSS MUCH OF CALIFORNIA AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...AND A LOW REMAINS OVER THE DESERTS OF SRN
CA/SWRN AZ. ALTHOUGH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS WEAKER THAN
YESTERDAY...RECENT OBSERVATIONS AT MONECITO SHOW GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
LOW ELEVATION OBS REFLECT THAT THE MARINE LAYER HAS PUSHED INLAND
OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...BUT REMAINS RELATIVELY SHALLOW/BELOW
1000 FT DEPTH. THIS WILL TEMPER THE THREAT AT THE LOWEST
ELEVATIONS...BUT ABOVE THIS EXPECT HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TO
CONTINUE TO ALIGN WITH GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE MORNING. THE MARINE
INFLUENCE WILL INCREASE THEREAFTER...AND THE THREAT WILL GRADUALLY
DECREASE/BECOME LESS FOCUSED OVER THE AREA.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN CA/SRN NV/SRN UT/SWRN CO/N AND
CNTRL AZ/WRN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...WARM/HOT
TEMPERATURES...DRY FUELS
05Z ANALYSIS SHOWS A SURFACE LOW IN NERN AZ/NWRN NM WITH A TROUGH
AXIS EXTENDING INTO THE ROCKIES IN CO. AS A SUBTLE MID LEVEL
TROUGH/50 TO 60 KT MID LEVEL JET PASSES OVERHEAD...THE LOW WILL
DEEPEN SLIGHTLY NEAR THE SERN UT/SWRN CO BORDERS. TEMPERATURES WILL
RISE INTO THE LOWER 100S WITH RHS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE
S...WHILE UPPER 70S AND RHS IN THE TEENS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
NRN AREAS. THE STRONGEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED CLOSER TO THE SURFACE
LOW. ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY BE MARGINAL ACROSS THE S...GIVEN HOT
TEMPERATURES/LOW RH/DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND RECENT FIRES...A
HEIGHTENED THREAT WILL EXIST.
...FLORIDA...
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED E
OF THE BAHAMAS...WITH HOT/DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS PERSISTING OVER
FLORIDA. AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S/LOWER 90S...RHS
WILL DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S ACROSS FAR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE
PENINSULA. WEST/EAST COAST SEA BREEZES DEVELOPING BY LATE AFTERNOON
WILL TEMPER THE THREAT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS. HOWEVER...AS
THESE CONVERGE...ISOLD THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP...MAINLY IN
CNTRL/SRN FL. RAINFALL TOTALS FROM YESTERDAY/S ISOLD STORMS SHOWS
VERY LITTLE RAINFALL REACHED THE GROUND...AND SHOULD STORMS DEVELOP
TODAY...SIMILAR TRENDS CAN BE EXPECTED.
..HURLBUT.. 05/09/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 090757
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2009
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST...WHILE A
FRONT WILL LINGER OVER MUCH OF THE SERN STATES. DRY CONDITIONS MAY
PERSIST ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND SRN FL AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE LINGERS E OF THE BAHAMAS. FARTHER W...HOT/DRY CONDITIONS
WILL BE WIDESPREAD OVER THE SOUTHWEST...ALTHOUGH GENERALLY WITH
LIGHT WINDS. LITTLE RH RECOVERY CAN BE ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT. BY
MONDAY MORNING...NLY WINDS MAY BEGIN TO INCREASE ALONG IMMEDIATE
COASTAL AREAS OF SRN CA...WITH LOCALIZED WARM/DRY CONDITIONS. THIS
WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE UPGRADE IN TOMORROW/S FORECAST.
..HURLBUT.. 05/09/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...