Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 140722
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0222 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NERN AZ...SERN UT...NRN
NM...SRN/ERN CO...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR COASTAL SRN CA...PRIMARILY SANTA
BARBARA...VENTURA...AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW NOTED ON WV IMAGERY JUST OFF THE BRITISH
COLUMBIA/WASHINGTON COASTS AS OF 06Z WILL MOVE SEWD INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...THEN EWD TOWARDS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS LATE IN THE PERIOD.
UPPER TROUGHING WILL BE POSITIONED OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST BY
LATE AFTERNOON...WITH A TROUGH SUBSEQUENTLY FORMING IN THE LEE OF
THE ROCKIES. THIS WILL ALSO QUICKLY PUSH A COLD FRONT SWD AND EWD
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NORTHWEST. BY LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING THE FRONT
WILL EXTEND FROM A SURFACE LOW ROUGHLY LOCATED IN SERN MT...SWWD
THROUGH ERN WY AND NWRN CO...THEN WWD THROUGH CNTRL UT. STRONG AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL ALIGN WITH LOW RHS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN NERN
AZ...SERN UT...NRN NM...AND SRN CO...AND IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LEE
TROUGH IN ERN CO.
FARTHER WEST...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE ONGOING IN COASTAL SRN CA
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS STRONG/GUSTY NLY/DOWNSLOPE WINDS
CONTRIBUTE TO WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW RHS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
WEAKEN AFTER SUNRISE...THEN REINTENSIFY BY LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NERN AZ...SERN UT...NRN NM...SRN/ERN
CO...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY WINDS...LOW RH...ANTECEDENT DRYNESS
STRONG/GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT IN MUCH OF
NERN AZ...NRN NM...SERN UT...AND SWRN/S CNTRL CO...AND IN RESPONSE
TO DEVELOPING LEE TROUGHING IN ERN CO. FOR PRE-FRONTAL
AREAS...STRONG SUSTAINED WLY WINDS NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS WILL ALIGN WITH RHS IN THE LOWER TEENS AND ISOLD SINGLE
DIGITS. STRONGEST GUSTS CAN BE ANTICIPATED BY MID-AFTERNOON...BEFORE
A SUBTLE LOW LEVEL WIND MAXIMA AROUND THE BASE OF A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH PROGRESSES EWD. STEEP LAPSE RATES/INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE
ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR SHOULD STARTS OCCUR. IN ERN CO...SLY WINDS
NEAR 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE COMMON...WHILE RHS WILL
PRIMARILY FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - COASTAL SRN CA...PRIMARILY SANTA
BARBARA...VENTURA...AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY WINDS...LOW RH...WARM
TEMPERATURES...MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT
LATEST OBSERVATIONS AT MONTECITO INDICATE CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
ONGOING...WITH RHS IN THE UPPER TEENS/LOWER 20S...AND WIND GUSTS
NEAR 55 MPH. EXPECT CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO STILL BE ONGOING AT THE
START OF THE PERIOD BEFORE TEMPORARILY WEAKENING AFTER SUNRISE.
CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT A SUNDOWNER WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP BY
EVENING...WITH STRONG/GUSTY WINDS ALIGNING WITH LOW RHS/WARM
TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO NELY
OVERNIGHT...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SLIGHTLY HIGHER RHS ON FRIDAY
MORNING VS THURSDAY MORNING...THOUGH WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN
STRONG.
..HURLBUT.. 05/14/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 140809
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0309 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS...REACHING THE WRN GREAT LAKES LATE IN THE PERIOD. BY EARLY
EVENING...A COLD FRONT WILL STRETCH FROM A SURFACE LOW ROUGHLY OVER
NERN MN...SWWD THROUGH NWRN IA...SERN NEB...CNTRL KS...THEN WWD INTO
NERN NM. ALTHOUGH WARM TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS WILL EXIST
IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE FRONT IN SERN CO/SWRN KS...RHS ARE
ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
ELSEWHERE...CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY EXIST FOR A FEW EARLY MORNING
HOURS IN COASTAL SRN CA BEFORE THE THREAT RAPIDLY DECREASES AFTER
SUNRISE.
...SANTA BARBARA...VENTURA...AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES OF COASTAL SRN
CA...
NLY WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE EARLY
MORNING ALONG FAVORED DOWNSLOPE AREAS IN COASTAL SRN CA...ALTHOUGH
RHS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO BE AS LOW AS THE PREVIOUS FEW DAYS.
HOWEVER...STRONG WINDS...WARM TEMPERATURES...AND MARGINAL RHS WILL
STILL LEAD TO A THREAT AS THESE AREAS HAVE REMAINED VERY DRY
RECENTLY...AND AS MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NELY AND WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER
SUNRISE...WITH THE NELY COMPONENT GENERALLY IMPROVING RHS ACROSS THE
AREA.
..HURLBUT.. 05/14/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...