Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 060711
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 AM CDT SAT JUN 06 2009
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN AZ/SWRN NM...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF AZ AND NM...WRN TX...TX/OK
PANHANDLES...SERN CO...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH NEAR THE BRITISH COLUMBIA/ALBERTA BORDERS
AS OF 07Z WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD INTO ID/MT TODAY...BECOMING
PHASED WITH AN UPPER LOW EXTENDING FROM SRN ID SWWD TO OFFSHORE OF
THE SRN CA COAST. AS THESE SYSTEMS PROGRESS EWD...STRONG SWLY JET
WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE SWRN STATES...WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
DEEPENING NEAR THE CO/KS BORDERS. A DRYLINE WILL EXTEND SWD OF THE
LOW THROUGH THE OK/TX BORDERS...THEN SSWWD TO THE BIG BEND AREA. W
OF THIS...A SECONDARY SURFACE TROUGH AXIS WILL SLIDE EWD...BECOMING
ORIENTED ROUGHLY THROUGH UT...SWD INTO AZ. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS
WILL ALIGN WITH HOT TEMPERATURES AND LOW RHS...WITH A WIDESPREAD
FIRE THREAT ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN AZ/SWRN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RH...VERY STRONG/GUSTY
WINDS
AS THE UPPER LOWS BEGIN TO PHASE...A STRONG 30 TO 40 KT 700 MB JET
AXIS AND 50 TO 60 KT 500 MB JET AXIS WILL OVERSPREAD THE SWRN STATES
INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS. SWRN AZ/SWRN NM APPEAR TO BE FAVORED FOR
EXTREMELY CRITICAL CONDITIONS...AS EXTENSIVE HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL
PRIMARILY BE FOCUSED N OF THE AREA...ALLOWING FOR STRONGER HEATING
AND DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL EASILY REACH THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S...WITH
SINGLE DIGIT AND LOW TEENS LIKELY FOR RHS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST STEEP/DRY ADIABATIC LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES THROUGH 9000 TO
13000 FT...WHICH MAY SUPPORT ERRATIC/RAPID FIRE GROWTH. SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE COMMON. THESE
AREAS HAVE REMAINED RELATIVELY DRY RECENTLY...DESPITE RAINFALL
ELSEWHERE...WITH ONGOING LARGE FIRES SUGGESTING VERY FAVORABLE FUEL
CONDITIONS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF AZ AND NM...WRN TX...TX/OK
PANHANDLES...SERN CO...SWRN KS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY WINDS...LOW RH
SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL...EXTENSIVE HIGH CLOUD COVER MAY
SOMEWHAT LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF HEATING AND MIXING THAT CAN OCCUR
ACROSS MUCH OF E CNTRL/NERN AZ...AND CNTRL/NRN NM.
HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S TO MID 90S WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF THE CRITICAL...WHILE MID 70S TO MID
80S WILL BE FAVORED IN THE NORTH. RHS IN THE TEENS WILL BE COMMON.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER COMPARED TO THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL
AREA...THOUGH SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
CAN STILL BE ANTICIPATED. RECENT RAINFALL MAY TEMPER THE THREAT IN
PATCHY AREAS...THOUGH PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS OVER THE PAST 7 DAYS
SUGGESTS DRY AREAS STILL EXIST.
..HURLBUT.. 06/06/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 060734
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0234 AM CDT SAT JUN 06 2009
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NM...FAR WRN TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW WILL BECOME ANCHORED NEAR THE ALBERTA/SASKATCHEWAN
BORDERS...WHILE THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS WILL EXTEND SWD THROUGH THE
ROCKIES BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON. AT THE BASE OF THIS AND AHEAD OF A
WEAK LOW LINGERING OFF THE SRN CA COAST...SWLY FLOW WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE SWRN STATES. CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS
MUCH OF NM AND FAR WRN TX ONCE AGAIN AS HOT TEMPERATURES ALLOW
STRONG WINDS FROM AN EXITING 30 TO 40 KT 700 MB JET TO REACH THE
SURFACE.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NM...FAR WRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RH...STRONG/GUSTY WINDS
A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE CO/KS BORDERS WILL STRENGTHEN DURING THE
AFTERNOON BENEATH SWLY FLOW ALOFT BEFORE GRADUALLY SHIFTING EWD
DURING THE EVENING. BEHIND THE SURFACE TROUGH AXIS...GRADIENT WINDS
WILL INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF NM AND FAR WRN TX...WHILE HEATING AND
DEEP MIXING ALLOW STRONG/GUSTY WINDS TO REACH THE SURFACE. SUSTAINED
SPEEDS NEAR 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE COMMON.
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S TO MID 90S CAN BE ANTICIPATED IN THE
SOUTH...WITH MID 70S TO MID 80S FARTHER N. RHS WILL WIDELY FALL INTO
THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS.
..HURLBUT.. 06/06/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...