Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 070628
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0128 AM CDT SUN JUN 07 2009
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NM...FAR WRN TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN ANCHORED NEAR THE ALBERTA/SASKATCHEWAN
BORDERS...WHILE A SECONDARY LOW OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN AS OF 06Z
WILL PROGRESS EWD...BECOMING PHASED WITH THE CANADIAN LOW. BY
MID/LATE AFTERNOON...THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS WILL EXTEND SWD THROUGH
THE ROCKIES. AT THE BASE OF THIS AND AHEAD OF A WEAK LOW LINGERING
OFF THE SRN CA COAST...SWLY FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SWRN
STATES...WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL JET WILL EJECT NEWD INTO THE CNTRL
PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE CO/KS BORDERS TO
SHIFT EWD...WHILE AMPLE HEATING/MIXING SHIFT A DRYLINE EWD INTO WRN
OK/TX AS WELL. BEHIND THIS ACROSS MUCH OF NM AND FAR WRN
TX...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY ONCE AGAIN AS HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS COMBINE WITH STRONG/GUSTY WINDS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NM...FAR WRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RH...STRONG/GUSTY WINDS
SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SWRN STATES FOR SEVERAL
DAYS. WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS A GRADUAL DECREASE IN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS...WHILE A DRY SLOT OVER CNTRL AZ IS SLOWLY SHIFTING EWD. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG HEATING AND MIXING THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
ACROSS THE CRITICAL AREA...WITH MID TO UPPER 90S LIKELY TO THE
SOUTH...AND MID 70S TO MID 80S FARTHER N AND ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. RHS WILL WIDELY BE IN THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER
TEENS. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL PROMOTE ERRATIC FIRE
BEHAVIOR IN ANY FIRE THAT CAN START. SUSTAINED WLY/SWLY WINDS NEAR
25 TO 35 MPH WILL BE COMMON...WHILE HIGHER WINDS FROM AN EXITING JET
MAXIMA WILL BE MIXED TO THE SURFACE.
...WRN TX/TX AND OK PANHANDLES/SERN CO/SWRN KS...
E AND N OF THE CRITICAL OUTLINE...WINDS NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY JUST W OF A DRYLINE AS TEMPERATURES WARM
INTO THE MID 80S TO MID 90S. RHS IN THE TEENS CAN BE EXPECTED.
DESPITE FAVORABLE METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS...RECENT RAINFALL SHOULD
TEMPER THE OVERALL THREAT.
..HURLBUT.. 06/07/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 070706
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 AM CDT SUN JUN 07 2009
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NM...FAR WRN TX...AND
SERN AZ...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE SRN PORTIONS OF THE
CANADIAN PROVINCES BECOMING ORIENTED ROUGHLY NEAR THE
SASKATCHEWAN/MONTANA/NORTH DAKOTA BORDERS BY LATE AFTERNOON. STRONG
NEARLY ZONAL UPPER FLOW WILL BE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN TIER OF
STATES...BUT WITH COOL TEMPERATURES AND MOIST CONDITIONS LIMITING
FIRE POTENTIAL.
MEANWHILE...A SRN STREAM JET/SWLY WINDS ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO
STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE SWRN STATES AS A DEEPENING UPPER LOW
APPROACHES THE SRN CA COAST. ALTHOUGH CONSIDERABLE MID TO HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY AFFECT SRN CA AND
AZ...FARTHER E ACROSS SERN AZ...MUCH OF NM...AND FAR WRN TX ARE
ANTICIPATED TO BE HOT AND DRY...WITH STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AT THE
SURFACE LEADING TO CRITICAL CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF NM...FAR WRN TX...AND
SERN AZ...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH
ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN REGARDS TO CLOUD COVER AND
POTENTIAL PRECIPITATION...CONSENSUS APPEARS TO INDICATE THAT DRIER
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY AFFECT SERN AZ...MUCH OF NM AND FAR WRN TX.
GIVEN THE DISTANCE OF THE NEXT WAVE FROM THE COAST...IT IS UNLIKELY
THAT THE SYSTEM WOULD PROGRESS FAR ENOUGH EWD BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON
TO SUPPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVIATION FROM CURRENT FORECASTS. SIMILAR
CONDITIONS TO THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL LIKELY COMMENCE ACROSS THE
CRITICAL OUTLINE...WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...DEEP MIXING
HEIGHTS...AND SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AS
STRONGER FLOW ALOFT OVERSPREADS THE SOUTHWEST. HOT TEMPERATURES IN
THE 80S AND 90S WITH LOWER TEEN RHS CAN BE ANTICIPATED.
...PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...
FOLLOWING AN EXITING TROUGH...STRONG NWLY WINDS AND DRY CONTINENTAL
FLOW WILL RETURN TO NEW ENGLAND. TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND LOWER
70S WILL ALLOW RHS TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S...WHILE
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 15 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...LOW MIXING
HEIGHTS WILL LIKELY PREVENT STRONGER WINDS FROM MIXING TO THE
SURFACE...WHILE PREVIOUS RAINFALL WILL TEMPER THE OVERALL THREAT.
..HURLBUT.. 06/07/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...