Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 070628
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0128 AM CDT SUN JUN 07 2009
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NM...FAR WRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN ANCHORED NEAR THE ALBERTA/SASKATCHEWAN
   BORDERS...WHILE A SECONDARY LOW OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN AS OF 06Z
   WILL PROGRESS EWD...BECOMING PHASED WITH THE CANADIAN LOW. BY
   MID/LATE AFTERNOON...THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS WILL EXTEND SWD THROUGH
   THE ROCKIES. AT THE BASE OF THIS AND AHEAD OF A WEAK LOW LINGERING
   OFF THE SRN CA COAST...SWLY FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SWRN
   STATES...WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL JET WILL EJECT NEWD INTO THE CNTRL
   PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE CO/KS BORDERS TO
   SHIFT EWD...WHILE AMPLE HEATING/MIXING SHIFT A DRYLINE EWD INTO WRN
   OK/TX AS WELL. BEHIND THIS ACROSS MUCH OF NM AND FAR WRN
   TX...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY ONCE AGAIN AS HOT AND DRY
   CONDITIONS COMBINE WITH STRONG/GUSTY WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NM...FAR WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RH...STRONG/GUSTY WINDS
   
   SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SWRN STATES FOR SEVERAL
   DAYS. WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS A GRADUAL DECREASE IN HIGH LEVEL
   CLOUDS...WHILE A DRY SLOT OVER CNTRL AZ IS SLOWLY SHIFTING EWD. THIS
   WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG HEATING AND MIXING THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
   ACROSS THE CRITICAL AREA...WITH MID TO UPPER 90S LIKELY TO THE
   SOUTH...AND MID 70S TO MID 80S FARTHER N AND ACROSS HIGHER
   ELEVATIONS. RHS WILL WIDELY BE IN THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER
   TEENS. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL PROMOTE ERRATIC FIRE
   BEHAVIOR IN ANY FIRE THAT CAN START. SUSTAINED WLY/SWLY WINDS NEAR
   25 TO 35 MPH WILL BE COMMON...WHILE HIGHER WINDS FROM AN EXITING JET
   MAXIMA WILL BE MIXED TO THE SURFACE.
   
   ...WRN TX/TX AND OK PANHANDLES/SERN CO/SWRN KS...
   E AND N OF THE CRITICAL OUTLINE...WINDS NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY JUST W OF A DRYLINE AS TEMPERATURES WARM
   INTO THE MID 80S TO MID 90S. RHS IN THE TEENS CAN BE EXPECTED.
   DESPITE FAVORABLE METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS...RECENT RAINFALL SHOULD
   TEMPER THE OVERALL THREAT.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 06/07/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 070706
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0206 AM CDT SUN JUN 07 2009
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NM...FAR WRN TX...AND
   SERN AZ...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE SRN PORTIONS OF THE
   CANADIAN PROVINCES BECOMING ORIENTED ROUGHLY NEAR THE
   SASKATCHEWAN/MONTANA/NORTH DAKOTA BORDERS BY LATE AFTERNOON. STRONG
   NEARLY ZONAL UPPER FLOW WILL BE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN TIER OF
   STATES...BUT WITH COOL TEMPERATURES AND MOIST CONDITIONS LIMITING
   FIRE POTENTIAL.
   
   MEANWHILE...A SRN STREAM JET/SWLY WINDS ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO
   STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE SWRN STATES AS A DEEPENING UPPER LOW
   APPROACHES THE SRN CA COAST. ALTHOUGH CONSIDERABLE MID TO HIGH LEVEL
   CLOUDS AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY AFFECT SRN CA AND
   AZ...FARTHER E ACROSS SERN AZ...MUCH OF NM...AND FAR WRN TX ARE
   ANTICIPATED TO BE HOT AND DRY...WITH STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AT THE
   SURFACE LEADING TO CRITICAL CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF NM...FAR WRN TX...AND
   SERN AZ...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH
   
   ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN REGARDS TO CLOUD COVER AND
   POTENTIAL PRECIPITATION...CONSENSUS APPEARS TO INDICATE THAT DRIER
   CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY AFFECT SERN AZ...MUCH OF NM AND FAR WRN TX.
   GIVEN THE DISTANCE OF THE NEXT WAVE FROM THE COAST...IT IS UNLIKELY
   THAT THE SYSTEM WOULD PROGRESS FAR ENOUGH EWD BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON
   TO SUPPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVIATION FROM CURRENT FORECASTS. SIMILAR
   CONDITIONS TO THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL LIKELY COMMENCE ACROSS THE
   CRITICAL OUTLINE...WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...DEEP MIXING
   HEIGHTS...AND SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AS
   STRONGER FLOW ALOFT OVERSPREADS THE SOUTHWEST. HOT TEMPERATURES IN
   THE 80S AND 90S WITH LOWER TEEN RHS CAN BE ANTICIPATED.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...
   FOLLOWING AN EXITING TROUGH...STRONG NWLY WINDS AND DRY CONTINENTAL
   FLOW WILL RETURN TO NEW ENGLAND. TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND LOWER
   70S WILL ALLOW RHS TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S...WHILE
   SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 15 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...LOW MIXING
   HEIGHTS WILL LIKELY PREVENT STRONGER WINDS FROM MIXING TO THE
   SURFACE...WHILE PREVIOUS RAINFALL WILL TEMPER THE OVERALL THREAT.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 06/07/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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