Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 100655
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0155 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE CANADIAN
PROVINCES...BECOMING CENTERED ROUGHLY OVER NRN ONTARIO BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EVENING. APART FROM EMBEDDED WAVES...STRONGER NEARLY ZONAL
FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE CONFINED TO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...THOUGH
MOIST CONDITIONS WILL LIMIT FIRE POTENTIAL.
IN THE SOUTHWEST...A STRONG UPPER WAVE MOVING INTO SRN AZ AS OF 06Z
WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE SRN PLAINS...WITH A STRONG UPPER JET
PROGRESSING NEWD AS WELL. AS THE JET BEGINS TO EXIT THE SWRN
STATES...GUSTY WINDS MAY ALIGN WITH MARGINAL RHS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
ERN NM/FAR WRN TX...ALTHOUGH A CRITICAL THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
...ERN NM/FAR WRN TX...
AN UPPER WAVE MOVING INTO SRN AZ AS OF 06Z WILL PROGRESS NEWD
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN RECORDED IN AZ
AND PORTIONS OF NM...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS NEWD IN
RESPONSE TO THE UPPER WAVE. EXTENSIVE MID TO HIGH CLOUD COVER NOTED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND LIGHT RAIN WILL LIMIT HEATING THROUGH THE
DAY...WITH ONLY MARGINAL RHS ANTICIPATED BY THE TIME THE WAVE MOVES
OUT AND AS CLEARING OF CLOUDS BEGINS TO OCCUR. DESPITE MODEL
FORECASTS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH ALIGNED WITH MARGINAL
RHS...RELATIVELY LOW MIXING HEIGHTS WILL LIKELY LIMIT STRONGER GUSTS
FROM REACHING THE SURFACE...WHILE IT IS ALSO LIKELY THAT SUSTAINED
SPEEDS WILL BE WEAKER THAN FORECAST AS WELL...WITH 10 TO 15 MPH MORE
PROBABLE.
..HURLBUT.. 06/10/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 100714
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE COUNTRY WILL RETURN TO NEARLY ZONAL WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF WEAK EMBEDDED WAVES. MEANWHILE...A WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE
INTO THE GREAT BASIN BY LATE AFTERNOON...PROGRESSING INTO THE CNTRL
ROCKIES OVERNIGHT. SLOW REDEVELOPMENT OF AN UPPER TROUGH WILL OCCUR
IN THE WEST. AT THE SURFACE...A FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THE MID
ATLANTIC SWWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS...ARCING NWWD TOWARDS A SURFACE
LOW NEAR THE TX PANHANDLE. A DRYLINE WILL EXTEND SWD FROM THIS
LOW...WHILE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALIGN WITH GUSTY WINDS
BEHIND IT ACROSS FAR WRN TX AND ERN NM. ELSEWHERE...LIGHT WINDS
AND/OR MOIST CONDITIONS WILL WIDELY LIMIT FIRE POTENTIAL.
...FAR WRN TX/ERN NM...
MAIN UPPER WAVES THAT HAVE LED TO EXTENSIVE MID TO HIGH CLOUD
COVER...SUBSEQUENTLY LIMITING SURFACE HEATING/LOW RHS...WILL HAVE
PROGRESSED NEWD AWAY FROM THE SWRN STATES. AS DRIER AIR ALOFT
RETURNS...TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH WARMER ACROSS ERN NM/FAR WRN
TX...WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW AIDING HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO NEAR 105 F.
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH CAN BE ANTICIPATED...WHILE RHS
WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS. WITH STRONGER FLOW ALOFT WELL REMOVED FROM
THE AREA...STRENGTH OF SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AND GUSTS...DESPITE
DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS...REMAINS UNCERTAIN. SHOULD SPEEDS APPEAR HIGHER
IN LATER FORECASTS...A CRITICAL WILL BE OUTLINED.
..HURLBUT.. 06/10/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...