Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 100655
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0155 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE CANADIAN
   PROVINCES...BECOMING CENTERED ROUGHLY OVER NRN ONTARIO BY LATE
   AFTERNOON/EVENING. APART FROM EMBEDDED WAVES...STRONGER NEARLY ZONAL
   FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE CONFINED TO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...THOUGH
   MOIST CONDITIONS WILL LIMIT FIRE POTENTIAL.
   
   IN THE SOUTHWEST...A STRONG UPPER WAVE MOVING INTO SRN AZ AS OF 06Z
   WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE SRN PLAINS...WITH A STRONG UPPER JET
   PROGRESSING NEWD AS WELL. AS THE JET BEGINS TO EXIT THE SWRN
   STATES...GUSTY WINDS MAY ALIGN WITH MARGINAL RHS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
   ERN NM/FAR WRN TX...ALTHOUGH A CRITICAL THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ...ERN NM/FAR WRN TX...
   AN UPPER WAVE MOVING INTO SRN AZ AS OF 06Z WILL PROGRESS NEWD
   THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN RECORDED IN AZ
   AND PORTIONS OF NM...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS NEWD IN
   RESPONSE TO THE UPPER WAVE. EXTENSIVE MID TO HIGH CLOUD COVER NOTED
   ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND LIGHT RAIN WILL LIMIT HEATING THROUGH THE
   DAY...WITH ONLY MARGINAL RHS ANTICIPATED BY THE TIME THE WAVE MOVES
   OUT AND AS CLEARING OF CLOUDS BEGINS TO OCCUR. DESPITE MODEL
   FORECASTS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH ALIGNED WITH MARGINAL
   RHS...RELATIVELY LOW MIXING HEIGHTS WILL LIKELY LIMIT STRONGER GUSTS
   FROM REACHING THE SURFACE...WHILE IT IS ALSO LIKELY THAT SUSTAINED
   SPEEDS WILL BE WEAKER THAN FORECAST AS WELL...WITH 10 TO 15 MPH MORE
   PROBABLE.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 06/10/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 100714
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0214 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE COUNTRY WILL RETURN TO NEARLY ZONAL WITH THE
   EXCEPTION OF WEAK EMBEDDED WAVES. MEANWHILE...A WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE
   INTO THE GREAT BASIN BY LATE AFTERNOON...PROGRESSING INTO THE CNTRL
   ROCKIES OVERNIGHT. SLOW REDEVELOPMENT OF AN UPPER TROUGH WILL OCCUR
   IN THE WEST. AT THE SURFACE...A FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THE MID
   ATLANTIC SWWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS...ARCING NWWD TOWARDS A SURFACE
   LOW NEAR THE TX PANHANDLE. A DRYLINE WILL EXTEND SWD FROM THIS
   LOW...WHILE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALIGN WITH GUSTY WINDS
   BEHIND IT ACROSS FAR WRN TX AND ERN NM. ELSEWHERE...LIGHT WINDS
   AND/OR MOIST CONDITIONS WILL WIDELY LIMIT FIRE POTENTIAL.
   
   ...FAR WRN TX/ERN NM...
   MAIN UPPER WAVES THAT HAVE LED TO EXTENSIVE MID TO HIGH CLOUD
   COVER...SUBSEQUENTLY LIMITING SURFACE HEATING/LOW RHS...WILL HAVE
   PROGRESSED NEWD AWAY FROM THE SWRN STATES. AS DRIER AIR ALOFT
   RETURNS...TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH WARMER ACROSS ERN NM/FAR WRN
   TX...WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW AIDING HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO NEAR 105 F.
   SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH CAN BE ANTICIPATED...WHILE RHS
   WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS. WITH STRONGER FLOW ALOFT WELL REMOVED FROM
   THE AREA...STRENGTH OF SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AND GUSTS...DESPITE
   DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS...REMAINS UNCERTAIN. SHOULD SPEEDS APPEAR HIGHER
   IN LATER FORECASTS...A CRITICAL WILL BE OUTLINED.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 06/10/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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