Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 230725
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0225 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2009
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A PERSISTENT UPPER-LEVEL HIGH THAT HAS BEEN ANCHORED OVER THE LOWER
MS RIVER VALLEY THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL RETROGRADE WWD INTO THE
SRN PLAINS. A CUTOFF UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY
OFF THE CNTRL/SRN CA COAST. MODEST LOW/MID-LEVEL S/SELYS IN BETWEEN
THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL POLEWARD TRANSPORT OF
RICHER SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST.
...N SLOPE OF THE MOGOLLON RIM IN AZ TO FAR NWRN NM...
ON THE NWRN PERIPHERY OF INCREASING MID-LEVEL MOISTURE...A FEW DRY
TSTMS MAY DEVELOP. CHARGE SEPARATION APPEARS MARGINAL WHERE SURFACE
RH REMAINS LOW /AOB 15 PERCENT/...GIVEN GRADUAL WARMING IN THE
UPPER-LEVELS. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SHOULD REMAIN WEAK WITH OROGRAPHIC
LIFT AND DIURNAL HEATING THE PRIMARY DRIVERS FOR ISOLATED TSTM
PRODUCTION.
..GRAMS.. 06/23/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 230908
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0408 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2009
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO RETROGRADE WWD TO THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS BY EARLY THU. NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER-LEVEL LOW OFF THE
CNTRL/SRN CA COAST SHOULD BEGIN A GRADUAL EWD ACCELERATION LATE IN
THE PERIOD...AIDED BY A NRN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH ENTERING
WA/BRITISH COLUMBIA.
...WRN MOJAVE DESERT/ANTELOPE VALLEY/SRN SIERRA MTNS...
NOCTURNAL HIGH-BASED TSTMS MAY DEVELOP EARLY THU MORNING AS FORCED
ASCENT INCREASES DOWNSTREAM OF APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL LOW OFF THE
CNTRL/SRN CA COAST. MODEL FORECASTS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH RESPECT TO
ATTENDANT MASS RESPONSE...WHICH APPEARS TO HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE
DEGREE AND TIMING OF MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE GULF OF CA/SONORA.
23/00Z GFS/NAM ARE MUCH MORE FAVORABLE COMPARED TO THE ECMWF WITH
THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF POSITIVE BUOYANCY ATOP A RESIDUAL
DEEPLY-MIXED SUB-CLOUD LAYER. GIVEN THIS WIDE DISCREPANCY AND THE
LIKLIHOOD OF GREATEST DRY TSTM POTENTIAL REMAINING OVER THE
DESERT...A CRITICAL AREA DOES NOT APPEAR WARRANTED.
..GRAMS.. 06/23/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...