Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 230725 DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0225 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2009 VALID 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... A PERSISTENT UPPER-LEVEL HIGH THAT HAS BEEN ANCHORED OVER THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL RETROGRADE WWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS. A CUTOFF UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY OFF THE CNTRL/SRN CA COAST. MODEST LOW/MID-LEVEL S/SELYS IN BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL POLEWARD TRANSPORT OF RICHER SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. ...N SLOPE OF THE MOGOLLON RIM IN AZ TO FAR NWRN NM... ON THE NWRN PERIPHERY OF INCREASING MID-LEVEL MOISTURE...A FEW DRY TSTMS MAY DEVELOP. CHARGE SEPARATION APPEARS MARGINAL WHERE SURFACE RH REMAINS LOW /AOB 15 PERCENT/...GIVEN GRADUAL WARMING IN THE UPPER-LEVELS. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SHOULD REMAIN WEAK WITH OROGRAPHIC LIFT AND DIURNAL HEATING THE PRIMARY DRIVERS FOR ISOLATED TSTM PRODUCTION. ..GRAMS.. 06/23/2009 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 230908 DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0408 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2009 VALID 241200Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO RETROGRADE WWD TO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS BY EARLY THU. NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER-LEVEL LOW OFF THE CNTRL/SRN CA COAST SHOULD BEGIN A GRADUAL EWD ACCELERATION LATE IN THE PERIOD...AIDED BY A NRN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH ENTERING WA/BRITISH COLUMBIA. ...WRN MOJAVE DESERT/ANTELOPE VALLEY/SRN SIERRA MTNS... NOCTURNAL HIGH-BASED TSTMS MAY DEVELOP EARLY THU MORNING AS FORCED ASCENT INCREASES DOWNSTREAM OF APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL LOW OFF THE CNTRL/SRN CA COAST. MODEL FORECASTS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH RESPECT TO ATTENDANT MASS RESPONSE...WHICH APPEARS TO HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE DEGREE AND TIMING OF MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE GULF OF CA/SONORA. 23/00Z GFS/NAM ARE MUCH MORE FAVORABLE COMPARED TO THE ECMWF WITH THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF POSITIVE BUOYANCY ATOP A RESIDUAL DEEPLY-MIXED SUB-CLOUD LAYER. GIVEN THIS WIDE DISCREPANCY AND THE LIKLIHOOD OF GREATEST DRY TSTM POTENTIAL REMAINING OVER THE DESERT...A CRITICAL AREA DOES NOT APPEAR WARRANTED. ..GRAMS.. 06/23/2009 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...