Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 260823
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0323 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2009
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL/ERN MT...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN INTENSE UPPER-LEVEL JET /250 MB WINDS AOA 150 MPH/ ACROSS BRITISH
   COLUMBIA INTO THE NERN PACIFIC WILL BECOME CENTERED FROM THE NRN
   PLAINS TO THE CANADIAN ROCKIES BY EARLY SUN. AN ASSOCIATED SHORT
   WAVE TROUGH WILL DIG SEWD ACROSS THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. SURFACE COLD
   FRONT WILL REACH THE FAR NRN HIGH PLAINS BY EARLY
   EVENING...ACCELERATING SEWD DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CNTRL/ERN MT...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / RECENT DRYNESS
   
   LOW/MID-LEVEL WLYS WILL STRENGTHEN MARKEDLY THROUGH TODAY. THIS WILL
   BE FAVORABLY TIMED WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY
   LAYER...SUPPORTING SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH DURING
   THE LATE AFTERNOON. WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE UPPER 70S AND
   80S...RH VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL TO AROUND 15 TO 20 PERCENT. GUSTY
   WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT...VEERING TO THE
   NW AND N IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSAGE.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF S-CNTRL/SERN WY...
   LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP DURING THE LATE
   AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY ALONG THE NRN SLOPES OF THE S-CNTRL MTNS/WRN
   SLOPES OF THE LARAMIE MTNS. AS LOW-LEVEL WLYS STRENGTHEN DURING THE
   AFTERNOON...SUSTAINED SURFACE SPEEDS SHOULD REACH 20 TO 25 MPH BY
   LATE IN THE DAY. THIS SHOULD BE JUXTAPOSED WITH MARGINALLY LOW RH
   VALUES OF 15 TO 20 PERCENT.
   
   ...COLUMBIA BASIN OF ERN WA...
   LOCALIZED/SHORT-DURATION CRITICAL CONDITIONS APPEAR PROBABLE DURING
   THE LATE AFTERNOON...AS THE REGION LIES ON THE SRN PERIPHERY OF A
   MID/UPPER-LEVEL JET CENTERED FROM SWRN CANADA INTO THE NRN HIGH
   PLAINS. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS SHOULD APPROACH 20 MPH AT PEAK
   HEATING AS RH VALUES FALL TO AROUND 15 TO 20 PERCENT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 09/26/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 260930
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0430 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2009
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE NRN/CNTRL
   PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A POWERFUL MID-LEVEL JET /100 MPH AT 500 MB/ SHOULD BECOME CENTERED
   FROM THE BLACK HILLS TO THE MIDDLE MO RIVER VALLEY BY EARLY EVENING
   ON SUN. THIS WILL AID IN SUBSTANTIAL AMPLIFICATION OF A SHORT WAVE
   TROUGH...RAPIDLY TRACKING FROM THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES ACROSS THE
   UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY EARLY MON. A SURFACE CYCLONE
   WILL DEEPEN ACROSS CNTRL ONTARIO/LK SUPERIOR...WITH AN ATTENDANT
   COLD FRONT SWEEPING QUICKLY SEWD FROM THE UPPER MS RIVER
   VALLEY/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS TO THE OH RIVER VALLEY/SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / RECENT DRYNESS
   
   TROPOSPHERIC KINEMATIC FIELDS WILL BE QUITE INTENSE ACROSS THE NRN
   PLAINS INTO NEB ON SUN...WITH AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF SUSTAINED SURFACE
   WINDS AOA 20 MPH. HOWEVER...MODEL FORECASTS ARE CONSISTENT WITH
   SUGGESTING THAT LOW RH /FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT/ SHOULD ONLY DEVELOP
   WITHIN A MUCH MORE NARROWER CORRIDOR. ALTHOUGH THERE IS MODERATE
   UNCERTAINTY OVER THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF LOW RH...CONSENSUS SUGGESTS
   THIS CORRIDOR SHOULD LIE FROM SERN MT/SWRN ND SEWD INTO S-CNTRL
   SD/N-CNTRL NEB. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS HERE WILL LIKELY REACH 25 TO
   35 MPH AND RESULT IN A HIGH-END TO LOCALIZED EXTREMELY CRITICAL
   THREAT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 09/26/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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