Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 050800
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0200 AM CST THU NOV 05 2009
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL STATES WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD
TODAY AS A LARGER SCALE UPPER TROUGH BIFURCATES WITH A PORTION OF
THIS TROUGH EVOLVING INTO A CLOSED LOW INVOF SRN CA/BAJA TOWARDS
FRIDAY MORNING. AT THE SURFACE...A TROUGH WILL RESIDE IN LEE OF THE
ROCKIES AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL CENTER OVER THE TN VALLEY REGION. A
DRIER CONTINENTAL AIRMASS WILL PUSH INTO THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO
WITH LOW RH DEVELOPING OVER THE FL PANHANDLE AND NRN PORTIONS OF THE
FL PENINSULA.
...FL PANHANDLE AND N/N-CNTRL FL PENINSULA...
AS AFTERNOON TEMPS QUICKLY RECOVER WITHIN DRY CONTINENTAL
AIRMASS...MIN RH WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.
THE STRONGEST BELT OF H85 WINDS /20-25 KTS/ WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS
THE FL PANHANDLE ACCORDING TO MODEL CONSENSUS. LATEST ETAKF/NAM
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INVERSION HEIGHTS DIFFER SOMEWHAT...WITH THE
ETAKF SUGGESTING LOWER HEIGHTS--NAM HIGHER HEIGHTS. A COMPARISON OF
THE OBSERVED 00Z/05 TLH RAOB WITH THESE MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED THE
NAM HANDLED THE BOUNDARY LAYER THERMAL PROFILE THE BEST. THIS
IMPLIES PERHAPS DEEPER MIXING MAY OCCUR--RESULTING IN STRONGER
WINDS. DESPITE PERIODIC SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 15 MPH /ESPECIALLY
OVER THE FL PANHANDLE/...LIMITING FACTORS PRECLUDING AN OTHERWISE
GREATER THREAT INCLUDE 1) NEAR AVERAGE TO ABOVE AVERAGE RAINFALL
OVER THE FL PANHANDLE THE PAST 30 DAYS...2)FLEETING NATURE OF
LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS.
..SMITH.. 11/05/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 050803
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0203 AM CST THU NOV 05 2009
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER BAJA/SONORA MEXICO WILL MEANDER EWD REMOVED
FROM THE BELT OF STRONGER WLY/S WHICH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE NRN
TIER OF STATES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SITUATED ALONG THE E
COAST...ENABLING DRIER/POST-FRONTAL TRAJECTORIES TO CONTINUE TO
INFILTRATE THE FL PANHANDLE.
...FL PANHANDLE...
MIN RH WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S/UPPER 20S DURING PEAK
HEATING AMIDST A DRY AIRMASS CHARACTERIZED BY 0.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEAKER FRIDAY COMPARED TO
THURSDAY. THIS WILL BE DUE IN PART TO A SLIGHTLY WEAKER PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND SHALLOWER MIXING DEPTHS /PER FORECAST SOUNDINGS/. AS A
RESULT...SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT
/NEAR 10 MPH/.
..SMITH.. 11/05/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...