Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 080828
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0228 AM CST SUN NOV 08 2009
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SERIES OF S/W TROUGHS ARE FORECAST TO PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE
   NWRN-N CENTRAL STATES ON SUNDAY...WHILE A MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER
   THE SERN CONUS GRADUALLY BEGINS TO SHIFT E TOWARD THE ATLANTIC...AND
   A FRONTAL WAVE POSITIONED IN BETWEEN MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS.
   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO RESIDE BENEATH THE SERN CONUS
   MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN A DRY LOW
   LEVEL AIRMASS OVER THE WRN CAROLINAS INTO THE TN VALLEY.
   MEANWHILE...HURRICANE IDA IS FORECAST TO MOVE N INTO THE GULF OF
   MEXICO...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE
   HURRICANE OVER PORTIONS OF TX AND LA. ELSEWHERE...SHOWERS AND
   EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WA/ORE
   COASTLINE AS ANOTHER COLD UPPER IMPULSE APPROACHES THE
   REGION...WHILE GUSTY WLY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY A SECOND DISTURBANCE
   MOVING ACROSS ERN MT AND WRN ND.
   
   ...WRN CAROLINAS AND WRN VA/NRN GA/ERN TN...
   MORNING SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE LOW SURFACE DEWPOINTS
   /GENERALLY IN THE 30S/ RESIDE ALONG AND N OF AN AXIS OF SURFACE HIGH
   PRESSURE EXTENDING W ACROSS SC INTO GA/AL/MS. THE SURFACE HIGH IS
   FORECAST TO SLOWLY LIFT NWD THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND THE
   ACCOMPANYING DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS WILL CONTRIBUTE TOWARD RH VALUES
   FALLING THROUGH THE 30S AND POSSIBLY/BRIEFLY INTO THE 20S WITH
   DAYTIME HEATING. SIMILAR TO THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...A WEAK SURFACE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT AND THE PRESENCE OF A MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ALOFT
   WILL PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANT SUSTAINED WINDS/GUSTS FROM DEVELOPING.
   THUS...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ...ERN MT/WRN ND...
   A S/W TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS E ACROSS ERN MT/WRN ND DURING
   SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AN INCREASE IN WLY MID LEVEL WINDS WILL BE
   FAVORABLY TIMED WITH PEAK BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING...POSSIBLY RESULTING
   IN GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. MOST MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES TEMPERATURES
   WILL STRUGGLE TO RISE THROUGH THE 50S...AND MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE
   EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. THEREFORE...AN OUTLOOK
   AREA WILL NOT BE ASSIGNED.
   
   ...SERN WY/NEB PANHANDLE...
   DOWNSLOPING W-NWLY LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS A
   WEAK/SUBTLE S/W TROUGH PASSES E ACROSS SERN WY/NEB PANHANDLE. AS LOW
   LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN DURING THE AFTERNOON...WIND GUSTS UP TO
   20-30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...WHILE RH VALUES APPROACH 20 PERCENT.
   HOWEVER...RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES AND ONLY A BRIEF WINDOW OF
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE THE ISSUANCE OF
   AN OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ..GARNER.. 11/08/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 080830
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0230 AM CST SUN NOV 08 2009
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   HURRICANE IDA IS FORECAST TO MOVE N ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
   APPROACH THE COAST LINE OF LA/MS/AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE MONDAY
   NIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TO THE N OF IDA OVER PORTIONS
   OF THE SERN CONUS. IN ADDITION...ELY SURFACE WINDS WILL ALSO
   GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA DUE TO A TIGHTENING
   SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOCATED BETWEEN IDA AND HIGH PRESSURE TO
   THE N. HOWEVER...RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE TOO HIGH TO SUPPORT
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...A WEAK SURFACE FRONT
   WILL BE POSITIONED BETWEEN A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
   CENTRAL AND NRN PLAINS...AND ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED E
   OF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. TO THE E OF THE FRONT...DRY AIR WILL
   CONTINUE TO LIFT NWD FROM WRN NC THROUGH WRN VA...PROMOTING THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF LOW RH VALUES /GENERALLY IN THE 30S/ AS SURFACE
   TEMPERATURES RISE WITH DAYTIME HEATING.
   
   ..GARNER.. 11/08/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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