Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 110801
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0201 AM CST WED NOV 11 2009
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   REMNANT SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH IDA WILL MOVE OFF THE
   COAST OF GA/SC ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
   PROGRESSING EAST THROUGH THE GULF COAST STATES. FARTHER WEST...THE
   NEXT IN A SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS WILL ENTER THE PAC NW TOWARD THE
   END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH STRENGTHENING MID-UPPER LEVEL FLOW
   SPREADING DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
   
   ...ERN NV/UT/SRN WY...
   HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS IS SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN EARLY
   WEDNESDAY MORNING...DOWNSTREAM OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING
   TOWARDS THE PAC COAST. THIS MOISTURE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
   STRENGTHENING W-SWLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW FIELDS...WHICH WILL AID IN THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF GUSTS UP TO 20-40 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NV/UT/WY AS
   BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING INCREASES DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   HOWEVER...ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATE THAT RH
   VALUES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES AND FULL SURFACE
   HEATING WILL POTENTIALLY BE LIMITED BY THE UPPER LEVEL
   CLOUDS...WHICH SUGGESTS THAT AN OUTLOOK AREA WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
   
   ..GARNER.. 11/11/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 110802
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0202 AM CST WED NOV 11 2009
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE WRN STATES ON
   THURSDAY...WITH MODERATELY STRONG SWLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW SPREADING
   DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES. GUSTY WINDS
   WILL BE POSSIBLE BENEATH THIS BELT OF STRONGER FLOW...AS WELL AS IN
   THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AS S-SWLY SURFACE WINDS STRENGTHEN IN RESPONSE
   TO DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTH.
   
   ...NRN AZ/ERN UT/WY...
   AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE GREAT BASIN
   THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A BELT OF 50-60 KT SWLY MID LEVEL FLOW
   BECOMING SITUATED FROM SRN CA NEWD ACROSS AZ/UT AND INTO WY.
   AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS UP TO 30-40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM NRN AZ
   INTO ERN UT AS WELL AS MUCH OF WY AS LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN
   DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...A NRN STREAM TROUGH IS FORECAST
   TO DROP SOUTH TOWARD THE NRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AND WILL BE
   ACCOMPANIED BY A COLD FRONT AT THE SURFACE...WHICH MAY ENHANCE
   SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OVER WY. AT THIS TIME...MODEL FORECAST
   GUIDANCE INDICATES COOL TEMPERATURES AND ONLY MARGINALLY DRY AIR
   WILL RESIDE ACROSS THE AREA...PRECLUDING THE NEED FOR A CRITICAL
   OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   S-SWLY SURFACE WINDS MAY GUST OVER 30 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON AS
   SURFACE LOW PRESSURE BEGINS TO EMERGE OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
   HOWEVER...MIN RH VALUES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BE ABOVE CRITICAL
   LEVELS.
   
   ..GARNER.. 11/11/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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