Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 120801
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0201 AM CST THU NOV 12 2009
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A CUT OFF LOW IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MIGRATE EWD OFF THE COAST OF
   NORTH CAROLINA ON THURSDAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND A COOL/DRY
   AIRMASS EXTENDING SWD FROM THE GREAT LAKES TOWARD THE GULF COAST
   STATES. FARTHER W...ONE S/W TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DROP S TOWARD SRN
   CA...WHILE ANOTHER IMPULSE LIFTS ENE TOWARD THE NRN PLAINS. THIS
   WAVE WILL ALLOW SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO ENTER THE HIGH PLAINS DURING
   THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH A COLD FRONT TRAILING TO THE SW
   ACROSS WY INTO UT.
   
   ...NRN AZ/SRN AND ERN UT/SRN AND E-CENTRAL WY...
   AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO DROP SEWD ACROSS THE
   INTERMOUNTAIN W...A BELT OF 50-60 KT MID LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO
   BECOME SITUATED FROM SRN CA NEWD ACROSS NRN AZ/SRN-ERN UT AND INTO
   SRN-ERN WY. AS BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING INCREASES DURING THE
   AFTERNOON...WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF AZ/UT/WY. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES AND MARGINAL RH
   VALUES /GENERALLY AOA 20-30 PERCENT/ ARE EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE
   NEED FOR A CRITICAL OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ...SERN CO/SWRN KS/ERN NM AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...
   SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO EMERGE OVER THE CENTRAL/NRN HIGH
   PLAINS DURING THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL LEAD TO STRENGTHENING
   S-SWLY FLOW IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. WITH AFTERNOON HEATING...STEEP
   LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF SERN
   CO/SWRN KS INTO ERN NM AND THE TX PANHANDLE...RESULTING IN GUSTY
   AFTERNOON WINDS AS HIGH AS 30-40 MPH. SREF GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT
   MIN RH VALUES MAY BRIEFLY APPROACH 20 PERCENT OVER SERN CO/SWRN KS
   BY MID AFTERNOON...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER VALUES TOWARD THE SOUTH.
   THUS...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT
   AN OUTLOOK AREA DOES NOT APPEAR NECESSARY AT THIS TIME.
   
   ..GARNER.. 11/12/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 120803
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0203 AM CST THU NOV 12 2009
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A S/W TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO LIFT ENE ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS ON
   FRIDAY...WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ENTERING ONTARIO...AND A COLD
   FRONT TRAILING TO THE SSW ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS BEFORE STALLING
   INVOF THE TX/OK PANHANDLE. MEANWHILE...A SECOND S/W IS FORECAST TO
   MOVE INTO THE DESERT SW...WITH MODERATE W-SWLY FLOW ROUNDING ITS
   BASE AND SPREADING E TOWARD NM AND W TX.
   
   ...SRN-ERN NM/W TX...
   AS A S/W TROUGH ENTERS AZ FRIDAY AFTERNOON...50-70 KT SWLY MID LEVEL
   FLOW WILL SPREAD E INTO NM AND FAR W TX. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH
   MODEST DEEPENING OF THE MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL PROMOTE WIND GUSTS
   UP TO 30-40 MPH /POSSIBLY HIGHER OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN/...WHILE RH
   VALUES GENERALLY FALL TO AROUND 30-40 PERCENT /POSSIBLY LOWER IN ERN
   NM AND WRN TX WHERE DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL BE FAVORED/. DUE TO THE
   MARGINAL LOW LEVEL HUMIDITY...A CRITICAL OUTLOOK AREA WILL PROBABLY
   NOT BE NEEDED.
   
   ..GARNER.. 11/12/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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