Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140820
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0220 AM CST SAT NOV 14 2009
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH NOTED ON WV IMAGERY ROUGHLY NEAR THE WA/OR/ID
   BORDERS AS OF 08Z WILL CONTINUE TO DIVE SSEWD. IN ITS WAKE...UPPER
   RIDGING OVER THE ERN PACIFIC WILL SHIFT ONSHORE...WITH STRONG
   NLY/NWLY JET WINDS AFFECTING MUCH OF THE WRN STATES. AT THE
   SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE ALREADY NOSING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
   WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AND DEVELOP SWD AND EWD. GUSTY NWLY/NLY
   WINDS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SRN CA.
   
   MEANWHILE FARTHER E...UPPER RIDGING WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SERN
   STATES AHEAD OF A BROAD UPPER TROUGH THE W...AND AN UPPER LOW
   OFFSHORE OF THE MID ATLANTIC. DRY NWLY FLOW WILL LEAD TO CRITICALLY
   LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   UPPER JET AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW WILL BE
   ORIENTED FARTHER W THAN PREVIOUS FORECASTS...WHICH WILL LIKELY
   RESULT IN STRONGER WIND GUSTS TODAY OVER FAVORABLY ALIGNED TERRAIN
   IN COASTAL SRN CA. NLY/NWLY WINDS ALOFT AND STRENGTHENING SURFACE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH AT
   TIMES...MAINLY THROUGH FAVORED PASSES AND CANYONS OF THE SANTA YNEZ
   RANGE AND THE I-5 CORRIDOR. DESPITE STRONG WINDS...RELATIVE
   HUMIDITIES ARE ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN MARGINAL. HOWEVER...AS WINDS
   SHIFT TO NELY OVERNIGHT...DOWNSLOPING WILL LEAD TO DRYING LATE IN
   THE PERIOD...LEADING INTO A CRITICAL EVENT FOR D2-3.
   
   ...FL PANHANDLE...
   UPPER RIDGING/SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AND VERY LITTLE CLOUD COVER WILL
   ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S. NWLY WINDS
   CONTINUE TO ADVECT A DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS OVER THE AREA...AND AS
   TEMPERATURES WARM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S
   FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...SHALLOW DEPTH OF MIXING
   LAYER AND A WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL KEEP WINDS
   LIGHT...RESULTING IN A MARGINAL THREAT.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 11/14/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 140907
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0307 AM CST SAT NOV 14 2009
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR COASTAL SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS
   EWD INTO THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS. BEHIND THIS...UPPER RIDGING AND A
   SURFACE HIGH WILL LINGER ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST...WITH OFFSHORE
   FLOW/CRITICAL CONDITIONS AFFECTING SRN CA. FARTHER E...AN UPPER
   RIDGE OVER THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO SHIFT EWD
   AHEAD OF BROAD UPPER TROUGHING IN THE CNTRL STATES. A LINGERING DRY
   AIRMASS IN THE SOUTHEAST WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICALLY LOW
   RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR FLORIDA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - COASTAL SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY WINDS...LOW RH
   
   BY SUNDAY MORNING UPPER RIDGING WILL ALREADY BE ESTABLISHED OVER
   MUCH OF THE WEST. NWLY/NLY WINDS ON D1 WILL QUICKLY SHIFT TO NELY AS
   A SURFACE HIGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED TO THE NORTH AND EAST. THE
   INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT/OFFSHORE WINDS WILL INFLUENCE
   WARMING/DRYING...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE
   DIGITS WILL BE LIKELY FOR COASTAL SRN CA. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 TO
   25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH IN FAVORED PASSES AND
   CANYONS CAN BE ANTICIPATED. LITTLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL
   OCCUR OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...FL PANHANDLE...
   DRY AIRMASS AND UPPER RIDGING WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA. DESPITE
   COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN D1...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL STILL FALL
   INTO THE LOWER 30S FOR SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FL
   PANHANDLE. HOWEVER...LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL ISSUANCE.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 11/14/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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