Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 241544
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1044 AM CDT WED MAR 24 2010
   
   VALID 241700Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SW TX...
   
   15Z SFC OBS SHOWED GOOD RH RECOVERY WITH VALUES FROM 60 TO 90
   PERCENT. LATEST FORECAST MODELS INDICATE THAT W/NWLY BOUNDARY LAYER
   FLOW WILL REMAIN SUBCRITICAL AT AROUND 15 KT. SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE
   GUSTS UP TO 25 KT LATE THIS MORNING BEHIND A SFC COLD FRONT LOCATED
   FROM SW OK TO MAF TO MRF AS OF 15Z. IN ADDITION...RH VALUES WILL
   LIKELY ONLY FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S THIS AFTERNOON AS
   INDICATED BY CURRENT MODEL FORECASTS AND THE MODIFIED 12Z MAF RAOB.
   WHILE A FEW LOCATIONS MAY BRIEFLY REACH CRITICAL CONDITIONS THE
   OVERALL THREAT APPEARS MARGINAL AT BEST. THEREFORE...WILL REMOVE THE
   CRITICAL AREA ACROSS FAR SW TX.
   
   THE REST OF THE FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK WITH EXPECTED DRY
   CONDITIONS ACROSS PARTS OF WI/MN AND INLAND FL.
   
   ..STOPPKOTTE/GRAMS.. 03/24/2010
   
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CDT WED MAR 24 2010/
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   07Z WV IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
   REGION...WHICH WILL STEADILY PROGRESS ESEWD THROUGH THE
   PERIOD...REACHING THE CNTRL OK/TX BORDER LATE IN THE PERIOD. DRY MID
   TO UPPER LEVEL AIR NOW SEEN OVER SERN AZ/CNTRL NM WILL BE ORIENTED
   OVER SERN NM/FAR WRN TX BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON...ALLOWING
   FAVORABLE HEATING AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS AS A DRY AIR
   MASS LINGERS OVER THE AREA. 
   
   SURFACE COLD FRONT ANALYZED FROM N CNTRL IL SWWD INTO SWRN OK THEN
   WWD THROUGH THE TX PANHANDLE AND NWWD INTO CNTRL CO WILL SHIFT SEWD
   THROUGH THE DAY...WITH WLY WINDS INCREASING TO NEAR 20 MPH WITH
   STRONGER GUSTS MIXING TO THE SURFACE. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO NWLY
   BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...THEN NLY BY EVENING...WHILE INCREASING TO
   NEAR 25 TO 30 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BEGIN A SLOW RECOVERY AS
   THE FRONT PASSES AND DIURNAL COOLING BEGINS TO OCCUR. 
   
   TO THE W...UPPER RIDGING WILL MOVE EWD THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN
   WEST AS A PACIFIC UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE COAST OVERNIGHT.
   ALTHOUGH MUCH OF THE WEST WILL REMAIN DRY...LIGHT WINDS ARE
   ANTICIPATED.
   
   ...INLAND NRN FLORIDA...
   UPPER RIDGING WILL DOMINATE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI...WITH DRY
   CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC. RELATIVE
   HUMIDITIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS OVER INLAND
   PORTIONS OF NRN FLORIDA...THOUGH LIGHT WINDS WILL TEMPER THE THREAT.
   
   ...WISCONSIN...
   TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 50S ACROSS MUCH OF WI/MN IN ADVANCE
   OF A COLD FRONT TO THE N...WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY DROP INTO
   THE LOWER 20S. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH COULD ELEVATE THE
   FIRE THREAT ACROSS NRN WI WHERE MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS ARE PERSISTING.
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 241841
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0141 PM CDT WED MAR 24 2010
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...NW AZ AND SE NV...
   CRITICAL RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT AND GUSTY SWLY SFC WINDS BETWEEN
   25 AND 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER AFTER COORDINATION WITH LOCAL
   WFO/S...ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL AND SNOWFALL THIS WINTER HAS LEAD TO
   FUEL CONDITIONS THAT ARE STILL MOIST AND NOT READY TO BURN THEREFORE
   MITIGATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ..STOPPKOTTE/GRAMS.. 03/24/2010
   
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0303 AM CDT WED MAR 24 2010/
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL OK/TX BORDER WILL CONTINUE EWD
   TOWARDS THE MID ATLANTIC OVERNIGHT...WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD
   FRONT PROGRESSING FROM THE WRN GULF TO THE ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH
   THE PERIOD. INITIALLY STRONG POST-FRONTAL NWLY WINDS ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS WILL WEAKEN BY AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS/SUBCRITICAL RELATIVE
   HUMIDITIES WILL RETURN TO WRN TX AND MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST AS THE
   UPPER SYSTEM PROGRESSES EWD. MEANWHILE...AN UPPER TROUGH IN THE WEST
   WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO AMPLIFY AND SHIFT EWD...WITH STRONG WLY WINDS
   ALOFT OVERSPREADING THE SOUTHWEST...AND A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
   ROUGHLY OVER SRN NV. WINDS IN SERN CA/SRN NV/WRN AZ WILL STRENGTHEN
   IN RESPONSE...WITH NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE DURING THE
   AFTERNOON...AND POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home