Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 121638
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1138 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2010
   
   VALID 121700Z - 131200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AZ...MUCH OF NM...PORTIONS OF
   FAR W TX...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SACRAMENTO VALLEY AND E BAY
   HILLS...
   
   REMOVED NERN NM FROM THE CRITICAL AREA AS THE COLD FRONT HAS PASSED
   THROUGH AND RELATIVELY COOL CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST. ALSO OF NOTE
   IS THE AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING THAT WAS OBSERVED OVER NERN AZ AND NWRN
   NM BOTH YESTERDAY AND ONGOING THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY
   OVER NM SHOULD WANE THIS AFTERNOON AS DRYING TAKES PLACE...THE WINDY
   WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO ACTIVATE A FEW
   FIRES.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/12/2010
   
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0212 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2010/
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW WILL EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN UPPER WAVE AS THE
   PRIMARY DISTURBANCE EJECTS NEWD FROM THE DESERT SW TO THE CNTRL
   ROCKIES BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY.  FARTHER E...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
   CENTERED OVER THE GULF COAST STATES AS A MOIST LOW LEVEL AIRMASS
   COVERS A LARGE PART OF THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S.  AT THE
   SURFACE...PRIMARY FEATURES OF NOTE WILL BE A LEE CYCLONE ALONG A
   COLD FRONTAL ZONE DRAPED ACROSS NERN NM NEWD INTO TX/OK PANHANDLES. 
   A SHARPENING DRYLINE WILL EXTEND S ALONG THE ERN NM AND TX BORDER. 
   AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO RESIDE OVER THE CNTRL
   VALLEYS OF CA.
   
   ...SERN AZ / LARGE PART OF WRN - CNTRL NM / FAR W TX...
   ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS STRONG AGREEMENT IN THE
   JUXTAPOSITION OF STRONG WINDS/LOW RH ACROSS THE REGION.  FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 20-30 MPH RANGE /GUSTS TO
   40 MPH/ AND RH DROPPING INTO THE 8-15 PERCENT RANGE ARE PROBABLE
   OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.
   
   ...SACRAMENTO VALLEY AND E BAY HILLS...
   A MODESTLY STRONG BUT WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST DURING
   THE DAYTIME HOURS ACROSS THE CNTRL VALLEYS.  TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO
   REBOUND QUICKLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE
   LOWER 90S AND LOW RH /10-15 PERCENT/.  STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   WILL FAVOR SUSTAINED WINDS INCREASING TO AOA 20 MPH WITH LOCALIZED
   GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH.
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 121638
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1138 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2010
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/12/2010
   
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0238 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2010/
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PRIMARY UPPER DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGER SCALE UPPER
   TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE FOUR CORNER/INTERMOUNTAIN W REGION WILL
   RAPIDLY MOVE NEWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS AND WEAKEN.  A BELT OF STRONG
   SWLY MID LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN OVERHEAD PORTIONS OF THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS.  A FRONTAL ZONE WILL SLIDE SWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE AND
   NERN NM ALONG WHICH A SURFACE CYCLONE WILL RESIDE.  A DRYLINE WILL
   EXTEND N-S ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.  LOW RH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
   THE CNTRL VALLEYS OF CA BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.
   
   ...CNTRL/ERN NM...
   MODERATELY STRONG WINDS /15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ ARE EXPECTED
   TO AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS WITHIN AN ANTECEDENTLY
   DRY AIRMASS AND RESULTING IN CRITICALLY LOW RH.  THE MAJORITY OF
   ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY OF
   STRONG WINDS /AOA 20 MPH/ IS LOW...EXCEPT FOR PERHAPS IN LOCALIZED
   AREAS--PRECLUDING A CRITICAL THREAT.
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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