Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 121638
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1138 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2010
VALID 121700Z - 131200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AZ...MUCH OF NM...PORTIONS OF
FAR W TX...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SACRAMENTO VALLEY AND E BAY
HILLS...
REMOVED NERN NM FROM THE CRITICAL AREA AS THE COLD FRONT HAS PASSED
THROUGH AND RELATIVELY COOL CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST. ALSO OF NOTE
IS THE AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING THAT WAS OBSERVED OVER NERN AZ AND NWRN
NM BOTH YESTERDAY AND ONGOING THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY
OVER NM SHOULD WANE THIS AFTERNOON AS DRYING TAKES PLACE...THE WINDY
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO ACTIVATE A FEW
FIRES.
..JEWELL.. 06/12/2010
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0212 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2010/
...SYNOPSIS...
CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW WILL EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN UPPER WAVE AS THE
PRIMARY DISTURBANCE EJECTS NEWD FROM THE DESERT SW TO THE CNTRL
ROCKIES BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. FARTHER E...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
CENTERED OVER THE GULF COAST STATES AS A MOIST LOW LEVEL AIRMASS
COVERS A LARGE PART OF THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S. AT THE
SURFACE...PRIMARY FEATURES OF NOTE WILL BE A LEE CYCLONE ALONG A
COLD FRONTAL ZONE DRAPED ACROSS NERN NM NEWD INTO TX/OK PANHANDLES.
A SHARPENING DRYLINE WILL EXTEND S ALONG THE ERN NM AND TX BORDER.
AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO RESIDE OVER THE CNTRL
VALLEYS OF CA.
...SERN AZ / LARGE PART OF WRN - CNTRL NM / FAR W TX...
ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS STRONG AGREEMENT IN THE
JUXTAPOSITION OF STRONG WINDS/LOW RH ACROSS THE REGION. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 20-30 MPH RANGE /GUSTS TO
40 MPH/ AND RH DROPPING INTO THE 8-15 PERCENT RANGE ARE PROBABLE
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.
...SACRAMENTO VALLEY AND E BAY HILLS...
A MODESTLY STRONG BUT WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST DURING
THE DAYTIME HOURS ACROSS THE CNTRL VALLEYS. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO
REBOUND QUICKLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE
LOWER 90S AND LOW RH /10-15 PERCENT/. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL FAVOR SUSTAINED WINDS INCREASING TO AOA 20 MPH WITH LOCALIZED
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH.
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 121638
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1138 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2010
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK.
..JEWELL.. 06/12/2010
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0238 AM CDT SAT JUN 12 2010/
...SYNOPSIS...
PRIMARY UPPER DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGER SCALE UPPER
TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE FOUR CORNER/INTERMOUNTAIN W REGION WILL
RAPIDLY MOVE NEWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS AND WEAKEN. A BELT OF STRONG
SWLY MID LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN OVERHEAD PORTIONS OF THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS. A FRONTAL ZONE WILL SLIDE SWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE AND
NERN NM ALONG WHICH A SURFACE CYCLONE WILL RESIDE. A DRYLINE WILL
EXTEND N-S ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. LOW RH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE CNTRL VALLEYS OF CA BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.
...CNTRL/ERN NM...
MODERATELY STRONG WINDS /15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ ARE EXPECTED
TO AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS WITHIN AN ANTECEDENTLY
DRY AIRMASS AND RESULTING IN CRITICALLY LOW RH. THE MAJORITY OF
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY OF
STRONG WINDS /AOA 20 MPH/ IS LOW...EXCEPT FOR PERHAPS IN LOCALIZED
AREAS--PRECLUDING A CRITICAL THREAT.
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...