Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Sun Jun 24 07:51:03 UTC 2012
Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 240750
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 AM CDT SUN JUN 24 2012
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR E-CNTRL CA...SRN/CNTRL/ERN
NV...WRN UT...FAR SRN ID...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WILL RESIDE ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE
NATION TODAY...WITH A RIDGE AXIS BUILDING NWD INTO S-CNTRL CANADA.
FARTHER W...A CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO RESIDE OFF THE COAST
OF THE PAC NW. BETWEEN THE UPPER HIGH AND LOW...A TIGHT HEIGHT
GRADIENT AND MODERATE-STRONG MIDLEVEL SWLYS WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE
GREAT BASIN.
...E-CNTRL CA...SRN/CNTRL/ERN NV...WRN UT...FAR SRN ID...
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CRITICAL RISK AREA WILL BE SIMILAR TO FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. DAYTIME HEATING WILL FAVOR DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING
WHICH WILL AID IN TRANSPORTING STRONGER MOMENTUM ALOFT DOWN TO THE
SURFACE. THIS WILL RESULT IN SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEEDS FROM
20-30 MPH. IN ADDITION...WARM TEMPERATURES AND A DRY ANTECEDENT
AIRMASS WILL FAVOR RH VALUES FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE LOW
TEENS.
...SRN WY...WRN/CNTRL CO...NERN AZ...NWRN NM...
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
PROBABLE OVER PORTIONS OF WRN AND CNTRL CO THIS AFTERNOON. A MIX OF
DRY AND WET THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH WILL MAINLY BE
DUE TO A DRY BOUNDARY LAYER BEING OFF-SET BY SLOW STORM SPEEDS. OVER
SRN WY...AS WELL AS NERN AZ AND NWRN NM...ISOLATED STORMS MAY
OCCUR...WITH A FEW LIKELY BEING DRY GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF DEEPLY
MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER PROFILES DEPICTED IN MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS.
...ERN ID...SWRN MT...
N OF THE CRITICAL DELINEATION...OVER THE REMAINDER OF ERN ID AND
SWRN MT...ELEVATED TO MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
MIXING WILL OCCUR...WHICH WILL PROMOTE SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEEDS
APPROACHING 20 MPH...AS WELL AS MIN RH VALUES FROM 10-15 PERCENT.
..GARNER.. 06/24/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...