Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Thu Sep 14 05:19:02 UTC 2017 (20170914 1200Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20170914 1200Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140516

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1216 AM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   In the mid levels, the flow over the central Rockies vicinity will
   attain more of a zonal component today. As a result, surface lee
   troughing will occur over the central High Plains, south of a
   frontal zone extending from the upper Mississippi Valley to the
   northern Plains. This will contribute to a tightened pressure
   gradient over portions of the central states.

   ...Portions of KS, the OK/TX Panhandles, northwest OK...
   The aforementioned tightened pressure gradient is expected to
   support southerly to south-southwesterly surface winds of 15-22 mph
   with higher gusts. Moisture return will be very limited, owing to
   the antecedent reinforcement of dry air over the south-central
   states (south of the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Irma). As
   temperatures warm into the lower to middle 90s, RH should fall to
   19-24 percent (lowest readings in western KS and the OK/TX
   Panhandles). Given the drying of fine fuels related to the lack of
   recent precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are
   anticipated. However, given the lack of an even drier air mass, RH
   is not expected to become sufficiently low amidst strong winds for
   Critical designation.

   ...Southern Idaho...
   Locally elevated fire-weather conditions may occur across the area,
   including the Snake River Valley, as 10-15 mph surface winds combine
   with RH falling to the 20s. The anticipated marginal/spotty nature
   of any elevated fire-weather risk preclude highlights. Furthermore,
   wetting rainfall has contributed to unfavorable fuels for fire
   spread in some areas.

   ..Cohen.. 09/14/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

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