ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 221641
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
VALID 221700Z - 231200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SRN NV...EXTREME NE CA
AND MUCH OF NRN AND CNTRL AZ...
HAVE SLIGHTLY MODIFIED PREVIOUS CRITICAL AREA WITH ONLY MINOR
CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ADDED MORE OF CENTRAL AZ TO CRITICAL AREA
BASED ON SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS EXPECTED IN CENTRAL SECTIONS.
...PORTIONS OF SRN NV...EXTREME NE CA AND MUCH OF NRN AND CNTRL
AZ...
CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THIS AREA TODAY AS
SWLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE 80S AND 90S WITH 70S
IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HUMIDITY ACROSS THE MOST OF THIS AREA
WILL BE IN THE 5 TO 10 PERCENT RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH POOR
RECOVERY DURING THE NIGHT. NEARLY THE ENTIRE AREA HAS VERY DRY
FUELS WITH CONTINUED DRYING OF THE FUELS EXPECTED.
...CENTRAL NV...SRN UT INTO SW CO...MUCH OF NM AND SRN AZ...
NO CHANGE.
......CENTRAL CA VALLEYS....
NO CHANGE.
..BOTHWELL.. 05/22/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0222 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013/
...SYNOPSIS...
...PORTIONS OF SRN NV...EXTREME NE CA AND MUCH OF NRN AZ...
DEEP LAYER WLY FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. TODAY
AS A LARGE UPPER LOW OVER THE PACIFIC NW DIGS SOUTHWARD. DEVELOPING
SFC LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WILL LEAD TO A TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM NV INTO CNTRL AND SRN CA. AS TEMPERATURES
WARM INTO THE 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES /LOWER IN THE MOUNTAINS/ DEEP
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING WILL OCCUR AND RH VALUES FALLING INTO THE
10-15 PERCENT RANGE WILL BE WIDESPREAD. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS MAY BE
SOMEWHAT MARGINAL IN THE 15-20 MPH RANGE...BUT GUSTY WINDS TO 30-35
MPH WILL HELP TO ELEVATE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT WHERE FUELS ARE DRY
AND AT LEAST LOW-END CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW
HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON. STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES WILL
EXTEND INTO THE SE CA DESERTS BUT LACK OF FUELS WILL LIMIT A
WIDESPREAD THREAT IN THIS AREA.
...CENTRAL NV...SRN UT INTO SW CO...MUCH OF NM AND SRN AZ...
MARGINAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SURROUNDING THE CRITICAL AREA. WIND
SPEEDS WILL BE WEAKER TO THE EAST ACROSS NM AND SRN AZ...FURTHER
REMOVED FROM STRONGEST MID LEVEL FLOW AND SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT.
ACROSS SRN UT...A MIX OF DRY AND GREEN FUELS WILL LIMIT POTENTIAL IN
THAT AREA.
...CENTRAL CA VALLEYS...
BREEZY N WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING AND
PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON. SPEEDS OF 10-15 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED. RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 10-20 PERCENT AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S...LEADING TO AN ELEVATED FIRE THREAT.
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)