ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 131529
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0929 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012
   
   VALID 131700Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   NO CHANGES REQUIRED.
   
   ..LEITMAN.. 02/13/2012
   
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0119 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012/
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SFC ANTICYCLONE ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN CONUS WILL SHIFT EWD AND MOVE
   OVER PARTS OF THE WRN NORTH ATLANTIC. THE DRY AIR MASS ASSOCIATED
   WITH THIS ANTICYCLONE -- PW VALUES AOB 0.20 INCH AT MANY LOCATIONS
   PER GPS DATA AND SUNDAY EVENING OBSERVED SOUNDINGS -- IS FORECAST TO
   SUPPORT LOW RH READINGS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SERN CONUS.
   HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF LIGHT WINDS AND AREAS WHERE PRECIP HAS
   RECENTLY FALLEN WILL MITIGATE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THESE
   LOCATIONS. MEANWHILE...A MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE
   FROM THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS EWD TOWARD THE OH/TN VALLEY REGION WHILE
   DEAMPLIFYING. A BROAD AREA OF PRECIP WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS PARTS OF
   THE PLAINS AND MS VALLEY REGION IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SFC LOW AND FRONTS. TO THE W OF THIS SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ITS ATTENDANT CLOSED LOW OVER
   THE WEST COAST WILL MOVE SSEWD OVER PARTS OF CA/NV AND EVENTUALLY
   APPROACH THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY. A ZONE OF MODERATE FLOW IN THE
   MID LEVELS TO THE SOUTH OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL COVER THE SRN
   STATES.
   
   ...SWRN TX/SERN NM...
   THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED ZONE OF MODERATE FLOW IN THE MID LEVELS IS
   FORECAST TO SUPPORT DOWNSLOPE WLY WINDS...WITH SUSTAINED SFC WIND
   SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS. DESPITE THE CONTRIBUTION OF
   DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS TO WARMING/DRYING THE BOUNDARY LAYER...MINIMUM RH
   VALUES ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 20S TO THE LOWER 30S  --
   I.E. ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. THIS IS DUE TO THE ABSENCE OF A
   DRIER AIR MASS AND THE ABSENCE OF EVEN WARMER SFC TEMPERATURES
   /MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 60S/. AS
   SUCH...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
   FURTHERMORE...THE OCCURRENCE OF RECENT PRECIPITATION IN MANY AREAS
   WILL REDUCE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)