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    Day 2 FW Outlook >
Jan 23, 2017 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 23 16:29:03 UTC 2017 (Print Version | 20170123 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20170123 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS21 KWNS 231625

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1025 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

   Valid 231700Z - 241200Z

   ...Portions of the southern High Plains...
   Sustained southwesterly winds around 20-25 mph, with gusts to 35-40
   mph, are still anticipated across the region this afternoon.
   Regional observations already show winds near 20 mph and gusts near
   30 mph across the northern TX panhandle. RH values are also still
   expect to drop into the upper teens and low 20s as downslope effects
   aid in mixing/warming the boundary-layer. Recent fuel guidance
   suggests some drying of the finer fuels is likely but larger fuels
   and ERC values will remain generally unfavorable. Given the modest
   fuels and generally marginal meteorological conditions, widespread
   and/or long-duration critical fire weather conditions are not
   anticipated. Even so, elevated fire weather conditions are
   anticipated across a large portion of the southern High Plains.

   ..Mosier.. 01/23/2017

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0149 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017/

   As a strong low pressure system moves northeastward from the
   Southeast into the Mid Atlantic today, a deep upper trough over the
   West will begin to progress eastward. In response to the upper
   trough, a surface low will deepen over the central High Plains,
   while another surface low drops southward off of the California

   ...Portions of the southern High Plains...
   Relatively strong low-level southwesterly flow is expected to
   develop across the southern High Plains this afternoon, south of the
   deepening surface low. Sustained winds of 20-30 mph, with higher
   gusts, are likely across much of eastern NM and west TX. Downslope
   flow will result in above-normal temperatures, with minimum RH
   values expected to drop into the 15-20 percent range. This wind/RH
   combination will result in an elevated fire weather threat.
   Uncertainty regarding the potential for a sufficient duration of
   critical RH, combined with some lingering uncertainty regarding
   fuels (given recent precipitation across the area), precludes any
   upgrade at this time.

   ...Please see for graphic product...

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Page last modified: January 23, 2017
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