Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Mon Mar 27 15:39:03 UTC 2017 ( | )
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ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 271535 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1035 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017 Valid 271700Z - 281200Z Ongoing forecast is on track with no changes needed. Locally/briefly critical fire weather conditions may develop in southwestern New Mexico and southeastern Arizona after 21Z as westerly surface flow approaches 20 mph in these regions. See the previous discussion below for more details. ..Cook.. 03/27/2017 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0253 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will dig southeast from the west coast to the southwest of the United States. Accompanying this trough/low will be a strong mid-level jet. As the trough approaches the southwest United States, the trough should evolve toward a closed low. At the surface, a weak pressure gradient across the southwest at the start of the period will strengthen toward the end of the period in response to cyclogenesis across far southeast New Mexico. ...Far southeast Arizona, southeast half of New Mexico, and far west Texas... Clear skies and a dry airmass will combine to allow for temperatures to warm into the upper 60s to upper 70s Fahrenheit with relative humidity falling into the 10-20% range. Although surface winds will generally be around or less than 15 mph, the dry airmass in place and modest surface winds will support widespread elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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