Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Thu May 24 15:09:03 UTC 2018 ( | )
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ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 241508 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1008 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018 Valid 241700Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Locally elevated conditions (hot, dry, unstable, and breezy) are likely to develop across most of Arizona and western New Mexico this afternoon including in the vicinity of the Buzzard fire. Forecast still looks on track and no changes are necessary. Please see discussion below for more details. ..Nauslar.. 05/24/2018 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018/ ...Synopsis... Dry areas of the Southwest and southern Rockies will reside in between two systems - one mid-level shortwave trough lifting northeastward toward the northern Rockies and another closed low just west of California. As a result, ridging will persist today and result in a relative minimum of mid-level flow across much of the western third of the CONUS. At the surface, a relatively weak gradient will exist across the Southwest resulting from a weak trough from Nevada southward through the Lower Colorado River Valley. Areas of breezy (10-15 mph) southerly flow will exist from southern Arizona into the Four Corners during peak heating today amidst dry low-level conditions (critically low RH and dry fuels/drought). Although locally elevated fire weather conditions will exist across portions of the region, overall wind fields remain a bit too weak to highlight any areas in the Southwest. Elsewhere, moist fuels and relatively high RH will result in quiescent fire weather conditions across the remainder of the CONUS. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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