Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Thu May 24 15:09:03 UTC 2018 (20180524 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20180524 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   FNUS21 KWNS 241508

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1008 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018

   Valid 241700Z - 251200Z


   Locally elevated conditions (hot, dry, unstable, and breezy) are
   likely to develop across most of Arizona and western New Mexico this
   afternoon including in the vicinity of the Buzzard fire. Forecast
   still looks on track and no changes are necessary. Please see
   discussion below for more details.

   ..Nauslar.. 05/24/2018

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018/

   Dry areas of the Southwest and southern Rockies will reside in
   between two systems - one mid-level shortwave trough lifting
   northeastward toward the northern Rockies and another closed low
   just west of California.  As a result, ridging will persist today
   and result in a relative minimum of mid-level flow across much of
   the western third of the CONUS.  At the surface, a relatively weak
   gradient will exist across the Southwest resulting from a weak
   trough from Nevada southward through the Lower Colorado River
   Valley.  Areas of breezy (10-15 mph) southerly flow will exist from
   southern Arizona into the Four Corners during peak heating today
   amidst dry low-level conditions (critically low RH and dry
   fuels/drought).  Although locally elevated fire weather conditions
   will exist across portions of the region, overall wind fields remain
   a bit too weak to highlight any areas in the Southwest.  Elsewhere,
   moist fuels and relatively high RH will result in quiescent fire
   weather conditions across the remainder of the CONUS.

   ...Please see for graphic product...


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