Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Sat Oct 25 16:09:02 UTC 2014 (20141025 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20141025 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 251608

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1108 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

   VALID 251700Z - 261200Z

   NO CHANGES ARE NECESSARY TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

   ..ROGERS.. 10/25/2014

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0328 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL WEAKEN TODAY AS IT MOVES EWD ACROSS THE
   CENTRAL CONUS WHILE AN UPSTREAM TROUGH MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC
   NORTHWEST.  AT THE SURFACE...A LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ONTO
   THE WASHINGTON COAST AND DEVELOP NEWD TOWARD THE SRN CANADIAN
   ROCKIES WITH A SOUTHWARD-EXTENDING COLD FRONT ADVANCING EWD ACROSS
   THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN.

   ...WCNTRL/NCNTRL NV...
   DOWNWARD MIXING OF ENHANCED LOW/MIDLEVEL FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THE
   APPROACHING TROUGH IN CONJUNCTION WITH A STRENGTHENING SURFACE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO WINDY/GUSTY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
   REGION THIS AFTERNOON.  SUSTAINED SWLY SURFACE WINDS OVER 20 MPH
   /GUSTS OVER 40 MPH IN FAVORED LOCATIONS/ WILL BE LIKELY IN THE
   AFTERNOON PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE.  ALTHOUGH RH VALUES ARE
   GENERALLY EXPECTED TO STAY ABOVE THE CRITICAL THRESHOLD /I.E. 15
   PERCENT/...PRE-FRONTAL AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL AOB 20
   PERCENT...LEADING TO ELEVATED AND PERHAPS LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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