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Apr 29, 2017 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Sat Apr 29 18:14:02 UTC 2017 (Print Version | 20170429 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20170429 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 291809

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0109 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

   Valid 301200Z - 011200Z

   Only minor change to the outlook was to expand the elevated area
   northwest into portions of southeastern Arizona.  Here, breezy
   conditions (approaching 20 mph in a few areas) will combine with
   single digit RH values and dry fuels to present a risk of fire
   spread.  

   The remainder of the forecast is on track.  Elevated to locally
   critical fire weather conditions are expected along the Rio Grande
   River Valley, where wind speeds may briefly exceed 20 mph
   (especially in higher elevations of the Transpecos).  

   For additional information, please see the previous forecast below.

   ..Cook.. 04/29/2017

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0214 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017/

   ...Synopsis...
   A deep mid-level cyclone is forecast to track east-northeastward
   across portions of the central and south-central United States, with
   a band of strong mid-level flow over the southern and eastern
   semicircles of the cyclone. Dry conditions originating from the
   southwest States and northwest Mexico will overspread portions of
   south Texas in the wake of a cold front moving across parts of the
   Gulf and southeast States.

   ...Portions of southern NM into south TX...
   West-northwesterly to northerly winds of 15-20 mph are forecast to
   combine with minimum RH around 8-15 percent. This will occur as the
   boundary layer diurnally deepens into the enhanced flow aloft, amid
   a dry air mass and dry fuels. Stronger deep-layer flow is expected
   to be displaced well to the north and northeast of the driest
   surface conditions. As a result, the lack of stronger winds amid low
   RH is expected to mitigate the critical fire-weather risk.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)

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Page last modified: April 29, 2017
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