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< Day 1 FW Outlook   Day 3 - 8 FW Outlook >
Feb 8, 2016 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Mon Feb 8 18:08:02 UTC 2016 (Print Version | 20160208 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20160208 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 081804

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1204 PM CST MON FEB 08 2016

   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

   ...SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...
   OFFSHORE GRADIENT IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
   BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF SRN CA ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES
   WILL APPROACH 90 DEG F /10-20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE/ DURING THE
   AFTERNOON WITH MIN RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT. THESE METEOROLOGICAL
   CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH FUELS PRIMED DURING THE PERSISTENT OFFSHORE
   FLOW DURING THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL SUPPORT AN ELEVATED TO
   LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. GRADUALLY DECREASING SPATIAL
   EXTENT OF THE GUSTY WINDS IS ANTICIPATED TO PRECLUDE MORE WIDESPREAD
   CRITICAL CONDITIONS.

   ..MOSIER.. 02/08/2016

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0303 AM CST MON FEB 08 2016/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE EASTERN TROUGH/WESTERN RIDGE PATTERN IN PLACE ON D1/MON WILL
   REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH VERY LITTLE
   CHANGE.  AT THE SURFACE...A BROAD/WEAK CYCLONE WILL MOVE SLOWLY
   EASTWARD FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES INTO NEW ENGLAND...WHILE A
   STRONG ANTICYCLONE MOVES SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
   VALLEY AND ANOTHER HIGH REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
   WEST.  THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL ELEVATE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   ONCE AGAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.

   ...SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...
   THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR MUCH OF THE PAST
   WEEK IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOME DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY IN
   CONJUNCTION WITH A SLIGHT WEAKENING/RETREAT OF THE SURFACE HIGH OVER
   THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN.  DESPITE THIS...NORTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL
   FLOW WILL REMAIN LIKELY IN PORTIONS OF THE AREA...WITH TYPICALLY
   TERRAIN-FAVORED AREAS EXPERIENCING GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  TEMPERATURES
   ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR 90 F UNDER FULL SUNSHINE...AND ANOTHER
   DAY OF WARM/DRY CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN CONTINUED DRYING
   OF FUELS.  THE OVERALL LOWER MAGNITUDE OF THE THREAT PRECLUDES
   ISSUANCE OF ANY CRITICAL DELINEATIONS FOR THIS FORECAST...ALTHOUGH
   THE REGION WILL BE MONITORED FOR INDICATIONS OF STRONGER WINDS THAN
   CURRENTLY FORECAST...WHICH MAY INCREASE THE ATTENDANT FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)

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Page last modified: February 08, 2016
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