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< Day 1 FW Outlook   Day 3 - 8 FW Outlook >
May 23, 2015 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Sat May 23 19:21:02 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150523 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20150523 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 231916

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0216 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST.

   ...NEW ENGLAND...
   LATEST GUIDANCE SUPPORTS SLIGHTLY STRONGER WIND SPEEDS ACROSS
   COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND AS COMPARED TO DAY1/SATURDAY.
   HOWEVER...RELATIVE-HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY
   HIGHER THAN DAY1/SATURDAY. THE OFFSETTING NATURE OF THESE TWO
   COMPONENTS WILL PRECLUDE THE INTRODUCTION OF AN ELEVATED AREA.
   HOWEVER...SHOULD WIND SPEEDS BE STRONGER THAN FORECAST...OR RELATIVE
   HUMIDITY LOWER THAN FORECAST...AN ELEVATED AREA MAY BE WARRANTED
   WITH LATER FORECASTS.

   ...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...
   DESPITE ANTICIPATED RELATIVE-HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE
   DIGITS...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT OR BELOW 15 MPH ACROSS THIS
   AREA. THUS...ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS ARE NOT CURRENTLY
   EXPECTED.

   FOR ADDITIONAL FORECAST INSIGHTS...PLEASE READ THE PREVIOUS FORECAST
   DISCUSSION.

   ..MARSH.. 05/23/2015

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0302 AM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE ROCKIES SUN MORNING SHOULD MOVE
   NEWD TOWARDS THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST BY EARLY MON MORNING.
   AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE OH/TN VALLEY REGION AND SERN U.S. SHOULD
   REMAIN GENERALLY STATIONARY.

   AT THE SFC...A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS SHOULD
   DEEPEN AND REDEVELOP NEWD IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE
   UPPER LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. A COMPOSITE COLD FRONT/DRYLINE FEATURE
   ATTENDANT TO THE SFC LOW OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY BE
   LOCATED ACROSS ERN NM/WRN TX SUN AFTERNOON. 

   A MARGINAL COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS WITH LOWERED RH VALUES SHOULD
   OCCUR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT/DRYLINE ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN NM AND
   FAR W TX ON D2/SUN. HOWEVER...DUE TO SUSTAINED WINDS FORECAST TO
   EXCEED 15 MPH ON JUST A BRIEF/ISOLATED BASIS...WILL NOT INTRODUCE AN
   ELEVATED AREA AT THIS TIME.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)

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Page last modified: May 23, 2015
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