Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Fri Jan 19 19:14:02 UTC 2018 ( | )
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 191913 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Fri Jan 19 2018 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z The ongoing forecast is on track, with only minimal eastward and southward expansions to the ongoing elevated area. These changes are based on latest guidance, which is trending a bit warmer/drier with surface conditions during the afternoon - particularly in western Oklahoma and southward toward the US 281 corridor in west-central Texas. Locally critical conditions remain possible in a few areas of central New Mexico, where slightly stronger (20-25 mph) surface flow will exist amidst near-critical RH values (around 15%). See the previous discussion below for more information. ..Cook.. 01/19/2018 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0132 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2018/ ...Synopsis... ...Southern High Plains... Strengthening deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread the southern Rockies and southern High Plains on Saturday as the western trough shifts east over the Great Basin during the afternoon. Surface low pressure will develop over CO and southwesterly surface winds will increase through the afternoon. There still is some uncertainty regarding strength of surface winds with differences amongst various guidance. Sustained winds should range from 15-25 mph and some areas of critical conditions are possible. Warm and dry conditions will persist, with above-normal temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s and RH values falling to around 12-20 percent. Given low confidence in stronger winds aligning with critically low RH values on more than a brief/spotty basis, will hold off on an upgrade to critical at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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