Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Sun Feb 7 09:11:03 UTC 2016 (20160207 0700Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20160207 0700Z Day 2 FireWX KML)

Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 3,711 4,693,483 Los Angeles, CA...Glendale, CA...Santa Clarita, CA...Pasadena, CA...El Monte, CA...

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 070906

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0306 AM CST SUN FEB 07 2016

   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SANTA
   BARBARA...VENTURA...AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN
   CALIFORNIA...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE WESTERN RIDGE/EASTERN TROUGH SYNOPTIC PATTERN IN PLACE ON D1/SUN
   WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ON D2/MON WITH VERY FEW OVERALL CHANGES.  AT
   THE SURFACE...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE
   GREAT BASIN...YIELDING ANOTHER DAY OF OFFSHORE FLOW AND FIRE WEATHER
   CONCERNS ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.  FARTHER EAST...A COLD FRONT
   WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS...WITH A
   DRY/CONTINENTAL AIRMASS IN ITS WAKE ELEVATING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
   IN A BROAD AREA OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

   ...SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...
   THE PERSISTENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER DAY OF VERY
   WARM/DRY AND GUSTY CONDITIONS ACROSS THIS AREA.  THE PERSISTENTLY
   DRY WEATHER HAS ALSO LED TO CONTINUED DRYING/CURING OF FUELS IN THE
   REGION...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FUELS EXPECTED ESPECIALLY
   ACROSS PARTS OF SANTA BARBARA...VENTURA...AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES. 
   A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DESIGNATION HAS BEEN MAINTAINED FOR THIS
   FORECAST GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED FUEL STATES...GUSTY NE WINDS /UP
   TO 40 MPH/...LOW RH VALUES...AND NEAR 85F AFTERNOON SURFACE
   TEMPERATURES.  SURROUNDING THIS CRITICAL AREA...AN ELEVATED FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST DUE TO SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE FUELS FOR
   FIRE GROWTH IN AN OTHERWISE CRITICAL ATMOSPHERIC FIRE WEATHER
   ENVIRONMENT.

   ...SOUTHERN PLAINS...
   A STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE AREA...COUPLED WITH FAIRLY
   STRONG NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW...WILL SUPPORT 15-25 MPH SURFACE
   WINDS /WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ IN A BROAD AREA ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA
   INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTH TEXAS.  WARMING SURFACE TEMPERATURES /FROM
   THE LOW 50S F IN NORTH TEXAS TO THE LOW 60S F SOUTH/ AND FALLING RH
   VALUES TO NEAR 20 PERCENT WILL SUPPORT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS.  THE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DELINEATION INCLUDES AREAS
   WHERE FUELS ARE DRY.  EAST OF THIS AREA...FUELS MAY BE A BIT LESS
   SUPPORTIVE OF FIRE SPREAD GIVEN LIGHT RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED OVER
   THE PAST TWO DAYS.

   ..COOK.. 02/07/2016

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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