ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 081648
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 AM CST SAT MAR 08 2014
VALID 081700Z - 091200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
NO CHANGE IS NEEDED TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.
..SMITH.. 03/08/2014
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0305 AM CST SAT MAR 08 2014/
...SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SURGE SWD ACROSS TX TOWARDS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE
VALLEY...WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE BECOMING DOMINANT ACROSS MOST OF THE
INTERIOR WRN/CNTRL CONUS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT E OF THE MS RIVER WITH
SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES. AS A RESULT...FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL
WILL BE MINIMAL.
...COASTAL RANGES/FOOTHILLS OF SRN CA...
WEAK TO MODERATE OFFSHORE WINDS /15-20 MPH/ WITH STRONGER GUSTS ARE
LIKELY TO BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE D1 PERIOD ACROSS
FAVORED CANYONS/PASSES IN SRN CA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RELAX
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH GUSTY WINDS BECOMING INCREASINGLY
LOCALIZED. RH VALUES OF 10-15 PERCENT WILL BECOME COMMON BY
AFTERNOON. WHILE THESE CONDITIONS WOULD NORMALLY FAVOR AN ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER THREAT...RECENT ABUNDANT RAINFALL WILL MITIGATE THE
POTENTIAL FOR WIND-DRIVEN FIRES.
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 081737
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1137 AM CST SAT MAR 08 2014
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
THE ONLY CHANGE THIS FORECAST UPDATE IS TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF WRN
AND SWRN NEB IN THE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER AREA. IT APPEARS RECENT
RUNS OF THE GFS/NAM VIA MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE UNDER-REPRESENTATIVE OF
THE AMOUNT OF MIXING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FORECAST HIGH TEMPS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 DEG F WILL PROBABLY YIELD RH FALLING INTO THE
UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S. SUSTAINED WINDS APPROACHING 20 MPH WILL
ACT TO INCREASE FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL AND PERHAPS RESULT IN
LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS.
..SMITH.. 03/08/2014
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0308 AM CST SAT MAR 08 2014/
...SYNOPSIS...
A SRN STREAM UPPER LOW WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY REMOVED FROM NRN
STREAM WLYS EXTENDING FROM THE PAC NW INTO THE GREAT LAKES. SFC HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS/SOUTHEAST...PRECLUDING GULF MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE INTERIOR
CONUS. WLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CNTRL/NRN
PLAINS...RESULTING IN A SUBSTANTIAL WARMING TREND WITHIN A DOWNSLOPE
REGIME.
...CNTRL NEB...FAR NRN KS...
A BELT OF RELATIVELY STRONGER LOW-LEVEL WLY FLOW /E.G. 30 KT AT 850
MB/ WILL EXTEND ACROSS CNTRL/ERN NEB. DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS WILL PROMOTE
SUBSTANTIAL BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING/WARMING DURING THE DAY...WITH
TEMPERATURES REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S F DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SOME OVERLAP OF STRONGER WIND SPEEDS WITH DRIER BOUNDARY
LAYER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR...AND RESULT IN AN AREA OF ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
