Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 021618

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1018 AM CST MON MAR 02 2015

   VALID 021700Z - 031200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   NO CHANGES...SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.

   ..DEAN.. 03/02/2015

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST MON MAR 02 2015/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EVIDENT OVER SWRN CA ON WATER-VAPOR SATELLITE
   IMAGERY EARLY THIS MORNING SHOULD MOVE NEWD TO THE VICINITY OF THE
   CNTRL ROCKIES BY LATE TONIGHT. AT THE SFC...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
   OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS AND MID MS RIVER VALLEY EARLY IN THE DAY WILL
   SHIFT EWD TO THE OHIO VALLEY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS
   HIGH AND A DEVELOPING SFC LOW ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA WILL
   PROMOTE GUSTY SLY/SWLY WINDS ACROSS A SMALL PORTION OF SRN NM AND
   FAR W TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...FORECAST PRECIPITATION ACROSS
   THIS REGION SHOULD GREATLY LIMIT THE SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL EXTENT OF
   LOWERED RH VALUES. IN ADDITION...FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO BE GENERALLY
   UNRECEPTIVE ACROSS SRN NM AND FAR W TX...AND THEREFORE NO ELEVATED
   AREA HAS BEEN INCLUDED. ELSEWHERE...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL
   REMAIN MINIMAL FOR THE REST OF THE CONUS AS A COMBINATION OF STRONG
   WINDS AND LOWERED RH VALUES IS NOT EXPECTED.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 021619

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1019 AM CST MON MAR 02 2015

   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   NO CHANGES...SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.

   ..DEAN.. 03/02/2015

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST MON MAR 02 2015/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL ROCKIES AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
   D2/TUE PERIOD MOVES NEWD...BROAD...POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGHING
   SHOULD BECOME ESTABLISHED FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO THE DESERT SW. THIS
   LONGWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS SLOWLY EWD THROUGH THE
   PERIOD AS MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATE THROUGH IT. AT
   THE SFC...A LOW-PRESSURE AREA INITIALLY OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS SHOULD
   MOVE QUICKLY NEWD AHEAD OF A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH BY TUE
   EVENING...LEAVING A REMNANT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS. HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
   MOVING NEWD TO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL BUILD SWD ACROSS THE
   NRN/CNTRL PLAINS...INCREASING THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS MUCH
   OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. 

   STRONG/GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS APPEAR PROBABLE TUE AFTERNOON ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN NM AND WRN TX IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS
   PRESSURE GRADIENT AND MODERATELY ENHANCED FLOW AT LOW TO MIDLEVELS.
   HOWEVER...EVEN WITH DOWNSLOPE WLY WINDS...TEMPERATURES MAY NOT WARM
   SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO LINGERING CLOUDINESS AND ANTECEDENT
   PRECIPITATION. A MARGINAL REDUCTION IN RH VALUES SHOULD OCCUR TUE
   AFTERNOON...BUT THEY SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. WITH
   FUELS ALSO REMAINING MOIST/UNRECEPTIVE...NO ELEVATED AREA HAS BEEN
   INTRODUCED FOR ANY PORTION OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS FOR D2/TUE.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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