Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 251608

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1108 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

   VALID 251700Z - 261200Z

   NO CHANGES ARE NECESSARY TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

   ..ROGERS.. 10/25/2014

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0328 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL WEAKEN TODAY AS IT MOVES EWD ACROSS THE
   CENTRAL CONUS WHILE AN UPSTREAM TROUGH MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC
   NORTHWEST.  AT THE SURFACE...A LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ONTO
   THE WASHINGTON COAST AND DEVELOP NEWD TOWARD THE SRN CANADIAN
   ROCKIES WITH A SOUTHWARD-EXTENDING COLD FRONT ADVANCING EWD ACROSS
   THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN.

   ...WCNTRL/NCNTRL NV...
   DOWNWARD MIXING OF ENHANCED LOW/MIDLEVEL FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THE
   APPROACHING TROUGH IN CONJUNCTION WITH A STRENGTHENING SURFACE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO WINDY/GUSTY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
   REGION THIS AFTERNOON.  SUSTAINED SWLY SURFACE WINDS OVER 20 MPH
   /GUSTS OVER 40 MPH IN FAVORED LOCATIONS/ WILL BE LIKELY IN THE
   AFTERNOON PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE.  ALTHOUGH RH VALUES ARE
   GENERALLY EXPECTED TO STAY ABOVE THE CRITICAL THRESHOLD /I.E. 15
   PERCENT/...PRE-FRONTAL AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL AOB 20
   PERCENT...LEADING TO ELEVATED AND PERHAPS LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 251651

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1151 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...MID-ATLANTIC REGION...
   VERY DRY CONTINENTAL AIR WILL ADVECT INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION IN
   THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH EARLY SUN MORNING.
   DOWNSLOPE-ENHANCED WARMING/DRYING AMIDST LOW-LEVEL WLYS SHOULD YIELD
   DAYTIME TEMPERATURES REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S F...WITH RH
   VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT. DOWNWARD MIXING OF HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR
   SHOULD PROMOTE SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
   GUSTS TO 30 MPH. WHILE METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS WOULD FAVOR AN
   ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT...NEAR-NORMAL RAINFALL OVER THE PAST
   1-2 MONTHS PRECLUDES ELEVATED RISK DELINEATION.

   ..ROGERS.. 10/25/2014

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0331 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE
   INTERMOUNTAIN WEST ON SUNDAY TOWARD THE ROCKIES WHILE A DOWNSTREAM
   UPPER LOW LIFTS NEWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND.  AT THE SURFACE...A
   LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN AS IT MOVES NEWD FROM MAINE. 
   FARTHER WEST...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE SRN CANADIAN
   PRAIRIE PROVINCES WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE
   NRN/CNTRL PLAINS.  ALTHOUGH POST-FRONTAL WESTERLIES WILL BE STRONG
   ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...RH VALUES WILL BE TOO HIGH /AOA
   20 PERCENT/ TO RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.  ELSEWHERE...RELATIVELY
   MOIST CONDITIONS AND/OR LIGHT WINDS WILL LIMIT THE OVERALL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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