Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 241637

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1137 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

   VALID 241700Z - 251200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...INTERIOR SOUTHERN CA...
   LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS INTERIOR
   MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS...AND VALLEYS OF SOUTHERN CA LATER TODAY...AS
   DRY/HOT CONDITIONS REMAIN TEMPORARILY PRIOR TO INCREASING MOISTURE
   WITH WESTERLY ONSHORE FLOW. POCKETS OF SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15-20
   MPH WILL OVERSPREAD VERY DRY FUELS THIS AFTERNOON...MAINTAINING SOME
   ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER POTENTIAL. HOWEVER...THE THREAT SHOULD BE TOO
   SMALL IN SPACE AND TIME TO NECESSITATE AN ELEVATED AREA.

   ..PICCA.. 07/24/2016

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0350 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO
   THE GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD HELPING TO DRIVE
   A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. ELSEWHERE...STRONG
   SUB-TROPICAL RIDGING WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UNITED
   STATES...ALBEIT SLIGHTLY WEAKER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.

   AS THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED TROUGH MOVES EAST...MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL
   WEAKEN ACROSS THE WEST ALLOWING FOR LOW-LEVEL WINDS TO RELAX.
   THEREFORE...DESPITE CONTINUED HOT/DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
   SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UNITED STATES...OVERALL LARGE-SCALE FIRE
   WEATHER CONCERNS LOOK TO BE LOW.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 241744

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1244 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN ROCKIES...
   A FEW DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN WY
   AND NORTHEASTERN UT...AS WELL AS SOUTHWESTERN MT. BOTH LOCATIONS
   WILL BE ON THE FRINGE OF GREATER MID-LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH PW VALUES
   AROUND 0.5-0.6 INCHES. THE INFLUENCE OF SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
   EMBEDDED IN WESTERLY FLOW...COMBINED WITH OROGRAPHIC
   CIRCULATIONS...MAY LEAD TO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY
   AFTERNOON. CLOUD-LAYER WINDS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG
   /ESPECIALLY ACROSS SW WY AND NE UT/...SUPPORTING ONLY MODEST STORM
   MOTIONS. WHILE RECEPTIVE FUELS SHOULD ENCOURAGE SOME
   DRY-THUNDERSTORM THREAT...A LACK OF STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT AND
   MORE PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL BUOYANCY ARE EXPECTED TO KEEP COVERAGE LOW
   ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE AN ISOLATED DRY-THUNDERSTORM AREA AT PRESENT.

   ..PICCA.. 07/24/2016

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0423 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEAMPLIFY AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE
   NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. AS THIS OCCURS...A SURFACE COLD FRONT
   /STRETCHING FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI
   VALLEY/ WILL MOVE SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH AND EAST AND WEAKEN. ACROSS THE
   SOUTH AND WEST UNITED STATES....A LARGE...BROAD...AND PERSISTENT
   SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR-CORNERS AREA. 

   DESPITE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WEST...THE ABSENCE OF ANY
   LARGE-SCALE TROUGHS/CYCLONES SHOULD PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
   STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENTS. IN TURN...THE LACK OF ANY LARGE-SCALE
   PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL PREVENT STRONG/GUSTY LOW-LEVEL WINDS FROM
   DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA...WITH ANY EXCEPTIONS BEING LIMITED TO
   LOCALLY DRIVEN OR TERRAIN-FAVORED AREAS. AS SUCH...LARGE-SCALE FIRE
   WEATHER CONCERNS ARE LOW.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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