SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0634 FOR PARTS OF W TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...

VALID 022134Z - 030000Z

TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF W TX FROM NEAR LBB SWD
TO WEST OF MAF ALONG THE DRYLINE.  STORMS MAY PRODUCE ISOLD SEVERE
WIND GUSTS...THOUGH A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO LIMITED SPATIAL/
TEMPORAL NATURE.

HIGH BASED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FORM ALONG THE DRY LINE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF W TX LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  MESOANALYSIS SHOWS THAT
TEMPERATURE-DEW POINT SPREADS HAVE REACHED NEAR 30F IN THE WELL
MIXED ENVIRONMENT...SUGGESTING THAT A FEW SEVERE WIND GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THIS EVENING.  UPPER
RIDGING/WEAK FLOW SUGGESTS THAT STORMS MAY BE RATHER DISORGANIZED
ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS SWD INTO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS.
STORMS FARTHER NORTH ALONG THE COLD FRONT/DRYLINE INTERSECTION WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE WITHIN THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE STRONGER MIDLEVEL
FLOW REGIME AND MAY CONTAIN LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH
MID EVENING /REF WW 187/. 

..RACY.. 05/02/01