SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0753 FOR IN...OH...KY...VA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #235

VALID 161912Z - 162100Z

THUNDESTORMS CONTINUE TO ADVANCE SEWD ACROSS WATCH AREA AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF SRN OH/NRN WV. WW235 WILL BE ALLOWED TO CONTINUE ATTM
AS AIRMASS AHEAD OF PRESENT CONVECTION IN WW REMAINS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE. 

LACK OF SIGNIFICANT COLD POOL LIKELY ATTRIBUTABLE TO ABSCENCE OF
STRONG CONVECTION ACROSS WW AT THE PRESENT TIME. IN
ADDITION...INFLOW APPEARS RATHER WEAK INTO WW AREA AS JKL VAD
REVEALS WEAK 0-1 KM WSWLY FLOW. ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE
INTENSIFYING...THOUGH...IN PORTIONS OF EXTREME SRN OH/NRN WV IN
PROXITY OF SFC BOUNDARY WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF ISOLATED HAIL IN
THIS AREA. IN WW...AHEAD OF PRESENT CONVECTION THERE REMAINS THE
POSSIBILITY OF STRONG WINDS/AREAS OF HAIL AS AIRMASS REMAINS
UNSTABLE WITH TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 80S WITH DEWPOINTS INTO THE
LOW-MID 60S YIELDING MUCAPES 2500-3000 J/KG. 

..NADEN.. 05/16/01