SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION #0800 FOR ERN NJ...LONG ISLAND AND SRN CT
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...REF WW 290...

VALID 140146Z - 140300Z

SURFACE ANALYSIS/RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT A MESOSCALE LOW/VORTICITY
MAXIMUM HAS DEVELOPED AND WAS MOVING ACROSS BERGEN COUNTY NY ATTM.
TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW...SQUALL LINE IS DECREASING IN INTENSITY
RAPIDLY. A FEW BOWS/LEWPS CONTINUE NEAR THE NEW YORK CITY AREA AND
ALSO APPROACHING CNTRL NJ. A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES OVER LONG ISLAND AND EXTREME SRN CT
DURING THE NEXT HOUR.  HOWEVER...DUE TO AREAL EXTENT AND GIVEN
SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE AIRMASS...A NEW WW WILL NOT BE ISSUED. 
CONVECTION OVER NJ IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE BEFORE 0215 UTC. 
WW 291 WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED BEFORE 0300 UTC EXPIRATION.

..RACY.. 05/14/00