SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0023 FOR CNTRL AND ERN ME
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW...

VALID 070729Z - 071200Z

BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITH RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND ERN ME FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS.  THE
SNOW RATES WILL QUICKLY DECREASE AROUND 12 UTC. 

MESOANALYSIS DEPICTS 990 MB SURFACE LOW BETWEEN PVD-BOS WITH 11 MB
3-HRLY PRESSURE FALL AXIS EXTENDING NEWD INTO THE GULF OF ME. 
LATEST RUC40 PROGS THE LOW TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ME BY 12 UTC
AND THIS SEEMS REASONABLE.  STRONG DEFORMATION ZONE CONTINUES TO
TRANSLATE QUICKLY NEWD ACROSS CNTRL NEW ENGLAND WITH CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS FEEDING NWD INTO DOWNEAST ME.  STRONG 850-700 MB
FRONTOGENESIS AXIS IS LIKELY TO SUPPORT A 70 NM WIDE AREA OF HEAVY
SNOW EXTENDING FROM 30 E BERLIN-25 SE GREENVILLE-30 S HOULTON. 
HEAVIER RATES ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR/SOUTH OF
GREENVILLE EAST TO SOUTH OF HOULTON AND CLOSER TO THE COAST FROM
WATERVILLE TO CALAIS.  THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS SHOULD DEVELOP NEWD
INTO CNTRL/SRN NEW BRUNSWICK BETWEEN 10-12 UTC...WITH SNOW RATES
DECREASING QUICKLY OVER ME.  

..RACY.. 01/07/02