Skip Navigation Links www.nws.noaa.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
 
   

Search SPC
 

Mesoscale Discussion 316
MD 316 graphic
   SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0316 FOR S-CENTRAL AND SRN FL
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...
   
   VALID 031811Z - 032130Z
   
   CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROPAGATING SEWD
   ACROSS S-CENTRAL AND SRN FL. ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/WIND IS EXPECTED
   WITH STRONGER STORMS. A WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. 
   
   CONVECTION AT 03/18Z IS FOCUSED ALONG MCS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING
   SEWD ACROSS CENTRAL FL AND WEST COAST SEABREEZE MOVING INLAND FROM
   40 SW AGR TO 25 SE FMY. AIR MASS ACROSS INTERIOR SECTIONS OF S-
   CENTRAL AND SRN FL HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH 100MB MLCAPE
   VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG. CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS MINIMAL AND WILL
   ALLOW FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS FOCUSED
   ALONG ABOVE MENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARIES. LOOK FOR STORMS TO
   DEVELOP SWD TOWARD THE WRN EVERGLADES ALONG SEABREEZE FRONT AND
   SEWD TOWARD LAKE OKEECHOBEE THROUGH 03/21Z. AMPLE INSTABILITY
   COUPLED WITH WBZ HEIGHTS AROUND 10 KFT AND HIGH EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS
   ARE SUPPORTIVE OF HAIL AND ISOLATED WET MICROBURSTS. THE SFC-6KM
   SHEAR IS ONLY 25-30 KT FROM TBW SWD BASED ON LOCAL VAD WIND
   PROFILES. THIS SUGGESTS INDIVIDUAL STORMS/ UPDRAFTS WILL BE RATHER
   SHORT-LIVED AND LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND ALSO KEEP
   COVERAGE OF DAMAGING DOWNDRAFTS RATHER ISOLATED. 
   
   ..BANACOS.. 04/03/02
   
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home