SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0434 FOR CNTRL/NERN KS
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
   WATCH 119...
   
   VALID 190440Z - 190615Z
   
   PLAN VIEW OF THE PROFILERS DEPICT 40-45 KT SWLY LOW LEVEL JET
   SITUATED FROM WRN OK INTO NERN KS.  NEAR THE SURFACE...ICT RADAR
   SHOWS A FINE LINE/OUTFLOW SURGING SWD AND IS LIKELY FAIRLY SHALLOW. 
   INCREASED LOW LEVEL FLOW IMPINGING ON THIS SHALLOW BOUNDARY IS
   LIKELY TO SUPPORT A FEW TSTMS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS FROM CNTRL
   INTO NERN KS.  ISOLD LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO POSSIBLE WITH
   THESE STORMS AS THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR REMAINS SUFFICIENT FOR
   ORGANIZED STORMS.  MEANWHILE...ISOLD SUPERCELL OVER CHASE COUNTY
   HAS PERSISTED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.  WHILE AN ISOLD
   TORNADO IS POSSIBLE...THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WINDS. 
   
   FARTHER WEST...IT DOES NOT APPEAR CONVECTION WILL INITIATE AS FAR
   WEST AS DDC.  MOST SIGNIFICANT MASS CONVERGENCE SHOULD BE LOCATED
   FARTHER NEWD INTO ERN KS ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET.  AS A
   RESULT...WILL LIKELY TRIM WRN PARTS OF WW 119 ON THE 05 UTC
   MKCWWAMKC (WW STATUS MESSAGE).
   
   ..RACY.. 04/19/02