SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0698 FOR SERN IL...SERN IN...N CNTRL KY
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 247...
VALID 071111Z - 071300Z
MCS WILL CONTINUE PUSHING EASTWARD ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY WHERE
AIRMASS IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPE AROUND 2000 J/KG.
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE OUTFLOW APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING...AS WEST-
EAST ORIENTATION OF SQUALL LINE IS PARALLEL TO 55 KNOT WESTERLY 850
MB JET ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY. ALTHOUGH EMBEDDED LEWPS/BOWS WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG/DAMAGING GUSTS...IT APPEARS THAT THE
OVERALL THREAT FOR SEVERE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS IS DIMINISHING.
AT THIS TIME...DO NOT ANTICIPATE NEED FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER
WATCHES OVER SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY.
ALTHOUGH ORIENTATION OF LINE WILL RESULT IN RATHER HEAVY RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS...RATES SHOULD BE NO HIGHER THAN 1 TO 1.5
INCHES/HOUR.
..CRAVEN.. 05/07/02
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