SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1469 FOR EXTREME ERN ND...NWRN NM.
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...
   
   VALID 252216Z - 260200Z
   
   THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FORM THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
   EVENING HOURS.  HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT.  WW NOT
   ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
   
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING ALONG WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...UNDERNEATH
   INCREASINGLY COOLER AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER SHORTWAVE. 
   MLCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG ALONG WITH RELATIVELY COLD AIR ALOFT WILL
   BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW A FEW STORMS TO FORM LARGE HAIL.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/25/02