SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1625 FOR SWRN MT...
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...
VALID 072339Z - 080200Z
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS SWRN MT...WITH LOCAL
DAMAGING WIND THREAT INCREASING. WW MAY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT 1
TO 2 HOURS.
DAYTIME HEATING CONTINUES ACROSS SWRN MT WHERE LATEST VISIBLE
IMAGERY SHOWS SMALL AREA OF LITTLE CLOUD COVER INVOF 3HT / BZN /
LVM. WITH TEMPERATURES NOW INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S IN THIS REGION
ALONG WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S...SURFACE-BASED CAPE OF
500 TO 1000 J/KG IS OBSERVED. LATEST TFX / GREAT FALLS MT/ WSR-88D
CONTINUES TO SHOW SFC-6 KM MEAN WIND FROM THE SOUTH -- SUGGESTING
NLY STORM MOTIONS. HOWEVER...LINE OF TCU / CB INDICATED BY VISIBLE
IMAGERY FROM JUST EAST OF HLN TO JUST E OF BTM -- INCLUDING SEVERE
STORMS IN BROADWATER AND LEWIS AND CLARK COUNTIES -- APPEAR TO BE
PROPAGATING IN A MORE NELY DIRECTION. THIS APPEARS TO BE THE
RESULT OF 30 KT ELY SURFACE WIND OBSERVED AT LVM ATTM...AND WITH
CONTINUED HIGHER THETA-E LOW-LEVEL INFLOW FEEDING THESE STORMS --
FAST NELY STORM MOTION SUGGESTS A THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS.
..GOSS.. 08/07/02
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