SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1786 FOR NERN/E CNTRL OK
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...
   
   VALID 240107Z - 240300Z
   
   STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MOVING
   SOUTHWARD THROUGH ROGERS/WAGONER/MUSKOGEE COUNTIES THROUGH 0300Z. 
   ISOLATED NATURE OF SEVERE THREAT DOES NOT WARRANT SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORM WATCH AT THIS TIME. 
   
   INTERSECTION OF TWO OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ABOUT 20 NE TUL MOVING
   SOUTHWARD ABOUT 25 KNOTS.  TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE LOWER
   70S IN THE COLD POOL...CREATING A DIFFERENTIAL OF ABOUT 20 F FROM
   THE WARM SECTOR.  00Z SOUNDING FROM OUN HAD DCAPE AROUND 1500
   J/KG...AND CURRENT MLCAPE IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA ARE ABOUT 3000
   J/KG.  SIGNIFICANT AREA OF 64+ KNOT INBOUND VELOCITIES WERE SHOWN
   ON TULSA BASE VELOCITY OVER ROGERS COUNTY EXTRAPOLATES THROUGH THE
   EASTERN PORTION OF THE TULSA METRO AREA INTO NORTHERN WAGONER
   COUNTY AROUND 0200Z AND NORTHWEST MUSKOGEE COUNTY AROUND 0230Z.   
   CONVERGENCE SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE MAXIMIZED ALONG OUTFLOW
   INTERSECTION AS STORM SPREADS SOUTH AND SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY
   PERSIST A FEW HOURS AFTER DARK.
    
   ..CRAVEN.. 08/24/02